Browse Events

Explore multi-outcome prediction market events across all categories. See crowd sentiment, whale positions, and market dynamics in real-time.

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πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$1868.4M

World Cup Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11%
+47 more outcomes
Confidence
45%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
1,868,393
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$1191.6M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?24%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8%
+42 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
1,191,637
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$654.9M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Balanced market conditions

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?34%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?23%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
654,885
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$623.6M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?16%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?14%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
623,637
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$418.4M

2026 NBA Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?62%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?38%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?1%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
418,376
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$278.2M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Strong consensus forming

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?67%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?57%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?43%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
278,192
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$170.3M

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?70%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?14%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?4%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
170,316
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$122.0M

Netanyahu out by...?

Strong consensus forming

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?51%
Netanyahu out by June 30?2%
Netanyahu out by March 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
122,032
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$97.5M

Brazil Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43%
Will FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?29%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
97,459
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$95.7M

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?30%
Will Γ‰douard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?18%
Will Jean-Luc MΓ©lenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?13%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
60%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
95,682
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$90.5M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will NicolΓ‘s Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?74%
Will Delcy RodrΓ­guez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?14%
Will MarΓ­a Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?4%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
90,507
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$82.2M

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?56%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?43%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?1%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
82,223
🟒 macro
Volume
$76.9M

Fed Decision in June?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
77%
Fresh Money
12%
Trades
76,919
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$50.8M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?14%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
50,799
🟑 crypto
Volume
$42.2M

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
+38 more outcomes
Confidence
79%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
42,176
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$36.3M

Colombia Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?85%
Will Candidate M win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?50%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?16%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
36,292
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$35.9M

California Governor Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?87%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?8%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?1%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
48%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
35,922
🟒 macro
Volume
$33.5M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?80%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?13%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?3%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
33,545
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$31.6M

NFL Champion 2027

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?16%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?9%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?8%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
31,555
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$30.5M

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?56%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?34%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?8%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
30,524
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$28.9M

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?28%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?13%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?10%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
28,942
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$25.9M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strong consensus forming

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?19%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?3%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
25,902
🟑 crypto
Volume
$25.1M

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?7%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?1%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
25,129
🟒 macro
Volume
$25.0M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?99%
+30 more outcomes
Confidence
71%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
24,997
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$23.6M

F1 Constructors' Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?88%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?4%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?3%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
23,558
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$22.6M

What will happen before GTA VI?

Strong consensus forming

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?99%
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?99%
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?54%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
87%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
22,639
🟣 tech
Volume
$21.5M

Largest Company end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?94%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?3%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?2%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
11%
Trades
21,463
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$20.5M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?11%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
20,487
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$19.9M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
19,914
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$18.1M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?21%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?12%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?9%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
18,091
🟣 tech
Volume
$17.9M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?99%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,924
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$17.3M

Iran leadership change by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran leadership change by December 31?28%
Iran leadership change by June 30?5%
Iran leadership change by March 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,265
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$15.2M

IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?49%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?22%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?8%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
13%
Trades
15,216
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$14.5M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balanced market conditions

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?35%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?29%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
14,494
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$14.4M

Iran leader end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?71%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?6%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?3%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
62%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
14,393
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$14.3M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?37%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?19%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?10%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
14,324
🟣 tech
Volume
$12.9M

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?90%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?2%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
37%
Fresh Money
14%
Trades
12,940
🟑 crypto
Volume
$11.7M

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?99%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
60%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
11,726
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$10.9M

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?56%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?19%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?16%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
10,881
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$10.5M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Balanced market conditions

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?56%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?36%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?5%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
10,513
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$9.6M

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?66%
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?23%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?2%
+18 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
9,618
🟣 tech
Volume
$9.2M

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Balanced market conditions

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?99%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?95%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
48%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
9,156
🟒 macro
Volume
$9.1M

Fed Decision in July?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?92%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?2%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
20%
Trades
9,057
🟑 crypto
Volume
$8.8M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Strong consensus forming

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?9%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?3%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
88%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,781
🟑 crypto
Volume
$8.6M

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?28%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?9%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,585
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$8.4M

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump and Putin not meet?97%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?1%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?1%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
77%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
8,351
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$8.3M

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Balanced market conditions

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?65%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?10%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?8%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
8,332
🟣 tech
Volume
$7.7M

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,707
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$7.6M

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balanced market conditions

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House44%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House37%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House18%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
7,631
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$7.6M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?6%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,571
🟣 tech
Volume
$7.0M

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Strong consensus forming

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?99%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?1%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?1%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
7,028
🟑 crypto
Volume
$7.0M

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?32%
Will Base launch a token in 2025?1%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,952
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$6.8M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?47%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?36%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?11%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,783
🟒 macro
Volume
$6.6M

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?34%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?34%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?15%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
93%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,584
🟣 tech
Volume
$6.5M

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?99%
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%
Cerebras IPO before 2027?99%
+31 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,512
🟑 crypto
Volume
$6.4M

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026?88%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
6,393
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$6.2M

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?59%
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?12%
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?8%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,244
🟑 crypto
Volume
$6.2M

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?53%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?45%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?44%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,164
🟒 macro
Volume
$6.0M

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,800 by end of June?99%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,033
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$6.0M

US military action against Cuba by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Cuba by December 31?40%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?1%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,986
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$5.9M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?7%
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?1%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?1%
Confidence
90%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
5,886
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$5.8M

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?25%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?14%
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?8%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
50%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,768
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$5.6M

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?22%
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?21%
Will Iga ŚwiΔ…tek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?12%
+44 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,579
🟑 crypto
Volume
$5.5M

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?95%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?89%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?76%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
67%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,499
🟑 crypto
Volume
$5.3M

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?65%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?53%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?23%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,282
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$5.1M

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?34%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?32%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?8%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,095
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$4.8M

Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?81%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?8%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?3%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,770
🟒 macro
Volume
$4.6M

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
+25 more outcomes
Confidence
52%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,598
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$4.5M

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?14%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?13%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8%
+41 more outcomes
Confidence
20%
Fresh Money
17%
Trades
4,525
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$4.2M

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?28%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?10%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?5%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,203
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$4.0M

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?26%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?14%
Will Ousmane DembΓ©lΓ© win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?12%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,049
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$4.0M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?6%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,039
🟣 tech
Volume
$4.0M

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?99%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?1%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,022
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$4.0M

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?27%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?19%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?12%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,973
🟒 macro
Volume
$4.0M

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?99%
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?99%
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?99%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,962
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$3.7M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Balanced market conditions

Will FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17%
Will Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,670
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$3.6M

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Balanced market conditions

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?46%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?28%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?6%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
64%
Fresh Money
13%
Trades
3,570
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$3.5M

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?41%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?17%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?12%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
53%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,487
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$3.5M

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Balanced market conditions

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?72%
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?22%
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
37%
Fresh Money
15%
Trades
3,464
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$3.4M

US strike on Mexico by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Mexico by December 31?10%
US strike on Mexico by January 31?1%
US strike on Mexico by March 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,393
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$3.4M

Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?40%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?34%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?13%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
37%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,351
🟒 macro
Volume
$3.3M

LCK 2026 Season Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?45%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?27%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?21%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,347
🟒 macro
Volume
$3.3M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?67%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?14%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?12%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
44%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,320
πŸ”΄ sports
Volume
$3.2M

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?14%
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?14%
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?13%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
42%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,229
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$3.1M

Makerfield by-election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?85%
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?14%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?3%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
38%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
3,130
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$3.1M

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?5%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?1%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,120
πŸ“Š general
Volume
$3.0M

Next James Bond actor?

Strong consensus forming

No one announced as next James Bond?89%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?4%
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?4%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,040
🟑 crypto
Volume
$3.0M

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?43%
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?33%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?30%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
86%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,039
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$2.9M

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?17%
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?1%
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,948
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.9M

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Strong consensus forming

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?62%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?31%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?5%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,938
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.9M

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI bubble burst in 2026?26%
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,873
🟒 macro
Volume
$2.8M

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?77%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
35%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,755
🟑 crypto
Volume
$2.8M

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Strong consensus forming

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202622%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18? 1%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? 1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,501
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.7M

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?48%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?33%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?13%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
19%
Trades
2,731
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$2.7M

Berlin State Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?28%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?24%
Will GrΓΌne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?22%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,678
πŸ”΅ politics
Volume
$2.6M

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Balanced market conditions

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?27%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?19%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
53%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,633
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$2.6M

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Strong consensus forming

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?9%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?1%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,613
🟑 crypto
Volume
$2.6M

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?74%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?43%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?27%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,590
🟑 crypto
Volume
$2.6M

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?38%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? 10%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30? 1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,176
πŸ“Š world
Volume
$2.6M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?85%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?2%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,574