Browse Events

Explore multi-outcome prediction market events across all categories. See crowd sentiment, whale positions, and market dynamics in real-time.

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🔴 sports
Volume
$2974.1M

World Cup Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?20%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?14%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?14%
+47 more outcomes
Confidence
47%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,974,087
🔵 politics
Volume
$1210.3M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?23%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?9%
+42 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
1,210,322
🔵 politics
Volume
$663.6M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Balanced market conditions

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?37%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?22%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
663,564
🔵 politics
Volume
$637.2M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15%
+34 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
637,150
🔴 sports
Volume
$177.1M

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?60%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?15%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?14%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
177,070
📊 world
Volume
$122.9M

Netanyahu out by...?

Strong consensus forming

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?55%
Netanyahu out by July 31?2%
Netanyahu out by March 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
122,909
🔵 politics
Volume
$104.0M

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?25%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
60%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
104,001
📊 world
Volume
$103.9M

Brazil Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?25%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?13%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
103,865
📊 world
Volume
$91.5M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?74%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?16%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?6%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
91,507
📊 general
Volume
$56.0M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?10%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
55,972
🟡 crypto
Volume
$44.0M

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
+38 more outcomes
Confidence
78%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
43,986
🔵 politics
Volume
$40.0M

California Governor Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?89%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?10%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?1%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
49%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
39,970
🟢 macro
Volume
$37.8M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?80%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?12%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?5%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
67%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
37,785
🔴 sports
Volume
$33.8M

NFL Champion 2027

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?17%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?8%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?8%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
33,819
🟢 macro
Volume
$31.6M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?99%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
70%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
31,612
🔴 sports
Volume
$31.3M

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?28%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?14%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?9%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
31,284
🔴 sports
Volume
$27.9M

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?32%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?14%
+49 more outcomes
Confidence
47%
Fresh Money
22%
Trades
27,904
📊 world
Volume
$27.6M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strong consensus forming

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?13%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? 2%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
27,617
🟡 crypto
Volume
$26.7M

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?1%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
26,675
🔴 sports
Volume
$25.3M

F1 Constructors' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?83%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?12%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?2%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
70%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
25,307
🟡 crypto
Volume
$24.0M

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?99%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
23,967
🟣 tech
Volume
$23.5M

Largest Company end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?98%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
14%
Trades
23,510
📊 general
Volume
$22.9M

What will happen before GTA VI?

Strong consensus forming

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?99%
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?99%
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?56%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
22,855
📊 world
Volume
$21.3M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?7%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
21,255
📊 general
Volume
$21.0M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
20,977
🔵 politics
Volume
$20.6M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balanced market conditions

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?37%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?37%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?13%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
20,591
🔴 sports
Volume
$18.6M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?18%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?12%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?9%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
18,640
🟣 tech
Volume
$18.0M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?99%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
18,001
🔵 politics
Volume
$17.8M

Iran leadership change by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran leadership change by December 31?17%
Iran leadership change by March 31?1%
Iran leadership change by March 13?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,836
🟢 macro
Volume
$16.7M

Fed Decision in July?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?2%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
20%
Trades
16,748
🟣 tech
Volume
$16.7M

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?95%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?4%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?1%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
44%
Fresh Money
12%
Trades
16,650
📊 world
Volume
$16.5M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?22%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?4%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
16,547
📊 world
Volume
$16.5M

Iran leader end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?82%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?4%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?3%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,542
🔵 politics
Volume
$13.6M

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?98%
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?1%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?1%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
45%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
13,576
📊 general
Volume
$13.0M

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?67%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?14%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?10%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
13,023
🔵 politics
Volume
$12.5M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Balanced market conditions

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?62%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?31%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?4%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
12,518
📊 world
Volume
$12.2M

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?99%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?99%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?99%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
92%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
12,226
🔴 sports
Volume
$10.0M

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Balanced market conditions

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99%
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99%
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99%
+45 more outcomes
Confidence
62%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
10,009
🟡 crypto
Volume
$9.0M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Strong consensus forming

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?6%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?2%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
93%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
9,005
🔵 politics
Volume
$8.7M

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump and Putin not meet?99%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?1%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?1%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
83%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,726
🟡 crypto
Volume
$8.6M

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?25%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?8%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,218
🔴 sports
Volume
$8.1M

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?56%
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?11%
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?7%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
43%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,144
🔴 sports
Volume
$8.1M

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?21%
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?14%
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?13%
+46 more outcomes
Confidence
59%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,054
🔵 politics
Volume
$8.0M

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balanced market conditions

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House43%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House37%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House18%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
8,049
🟣 tech
Volume
$7.7M

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,721
🔵 politics
Volume
$7.6M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?5%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,583
🟡 crypto
Volume
$7.3M

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?74%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?48%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?32%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,269
🟢 macro
Volume
$7.1M

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?99%
+24 more outcomes
Confidence
46%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,073
🟡 crypto
Volume
$6.9M

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026?99%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,897
📊 world
Volume
$6.9M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?50%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?34%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?3%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,861
🟢 macro
Volume
$6.8M

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,800 by end of June?99%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
50%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,750
🟣 tech
Volume
$6.7M

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?99%
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%
Cerebras IPO before 2027?99%
+31 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,686
🟢 macro
Volume
$6.6M

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?30%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?29%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?29%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,637
📊 world
Volume
$6.6M

US military action against Cuba by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Cuba by December 31?47%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?1%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,632
🟡 crypto
Volume
$6.3M

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?44%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?42%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?41%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,334
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.3M

Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?77%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Seattle Seahawks next?6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?4%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,312
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.2M

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Balanced market conditions

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?70%
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?21%
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
40%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
6,238
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.2M

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?23%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?13%
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?11%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
50%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,214
🔵 politics
Volume
$5.9M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?5%
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?1%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,932
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.6M

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?95%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?88%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?79%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
86%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,614
🟢 macro
Volume
$5.4M

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
+25 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,393
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.4M

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?63%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?45%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?28%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,370
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.3M

What price will Ethereum hit in June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?99%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?99%
+18 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
5,282
📊 world
Volume
$5.1M

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Balanced market conditions

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?24%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?22%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?16%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,144
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.1M

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?34%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?2%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next?1%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
10,196
📊 world
Volume
$5.1M

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?14%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
86%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,085
🔵 politics
Volume
$4.6M

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Balanced market conditions

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?47%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?30%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?13%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
67%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
4,621
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.4M

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?31%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?14%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?12%
+22 more outcomes
Confidence
47%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,446
📊 general
Volume
$4.4M

Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?61%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?40%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?1%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
33%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,445
📊 world
Volume
$4.1M

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Strong consensus forming

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?3%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
4,149
📊 world
Volume
$4.0M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?1%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,049
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.0M

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?34%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?21%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?8%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,029
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.7M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Balanced market conditions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?69%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?6%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,736
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.7M

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?41%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?19%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?14%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,700
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.7M

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan

High FOMO activity - surge in new positions

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?86%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?11%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?5%
Confidence
15%
Fresh Money
85%
Trades
3,683
🟢 macro
Volume
$3.6M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?73%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?11%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?10%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
42%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
3,615
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.6M

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Balanced market conditions

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?78%
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?17%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?2%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
45%
Fresh Money
23%
Trades
3,562
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.5M

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?13%
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?13%
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?13%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
43%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,469
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.4M

US strike on Mexico by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Mexico by December 31?14%
US strike on Mexico by January 31?1%
US strike on Mexico by March 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,407
🟢 macro
Volume
$3.4M

LCK 2026 Season Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?35%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?30%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?21%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
89%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,364
📊 general
Volume
$3.1M

Next James Bond actor?

Strong consensus forming

No one announced as next James Bond?91%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?5%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?1%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,127
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.1M

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?5%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?1%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,126
🟡 crypto
Volume
$3.1M

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?29%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?28%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?26%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,051
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.0M

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets

Balanced market conditions

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.597%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.595%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.586%
+38 more outcomes
Confidence
15%
Fresh Money
16%
Trades
3,006
🟣 tech
Volume
$3.0M

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Strong consensus forming

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?67%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?23%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?4%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,971
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.0M

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?13%
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?1%
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,963
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.9M

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI bubble burst in 2026?19%
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,886
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.8M

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Balanced market conditions

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?97%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?1%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?1%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
45%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,802
🟡 crypto
Volume
$2.8M

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Strong consensus forming

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202621%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18? 1%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? 1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,509
🔴 sports
Volume
$2.7M

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Strong consensus forming

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?43%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?27%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?5%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,740
🟡 crypto
Volume
$2.7M

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?76%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?49%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?30%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,734
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.7M

Berlin State Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?35%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?22%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?22%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
64%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,730
🔴 sports
Volume
$2.7M

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Strong consensus forming

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?26%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?17%
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?11%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
87%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,713
📊 world
Volume
$2.7M

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?69%
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?5%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?1%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,656
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.6M

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Balanced market conditions

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?27%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?18%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,645
📊 world
Volume
$2.6M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?81%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?3%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
64%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,636
📊 world
Volume
$2.6M

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Strong consensus forming

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?5%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?1%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,621
🟡 crypto
Volume
$2.6M

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?20%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30? 1%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? 1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,614
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.6M

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Strong consensus forming

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?16%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?1%
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,607
🔴 sports
Volume
$2.6M

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?14%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?12%
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?11%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,580