Browse Events

Explore multi-outcome prediction market events across all categories. See crowd sentiment, whale positions, and market dynamics in real-time.

Showing 1-100 of 294 markets
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🔵 politics
Volume
$1132.6M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?25%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8%
+41 more outcomes
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
1,132,645
🔴 sports
Volume
$915.1M

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?15%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11%
+47 more outcomes
Confidence
43%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
915,109
🔵 politics
Volume
$608.8M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?37%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?24%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
608,801
🔵 politics
Volume
$573.8M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?19%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?17%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
77%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
573,830
🔴 sports
Volume
$373.4M

2026 NBA Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?62%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?19%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?11%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
373,365
🔴 sports
Volume
$320.5M

English Premier League Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?80%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?21%
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?1%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
320,501
🔴 sports
Volume
$253.6M

UEFA Champions League Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?57%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?43%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?1%
+36 more outcomes
Confidence
93%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
253,569
🔴 sports
Volume
$144.1M

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?39%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?30%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?11%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
144,101
📊 general
Volume
$137.1M

Eurovision Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?42%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?14%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?13%
+32 more outcomes
Confidence
62%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
137,077
📊 world
Volume
$120.3M

Netanyahu out by...?

Strong consensus forming

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?44%
Netanyahu out by June 30?5%
Netanyahu out by March 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
120,274
🔴 sports
Volume
$110.9M

LALIGA Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?99%
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?1%
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?1%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
110,878
🔴 sports
Volume
$93.6M

NBA MVP

Strong consensus forming

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?98%
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?1%
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?1%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
93,575
📊 world
Volume
$91.7M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Strong consensus forming

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?75%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?46%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?32%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
91,653
📊 world
Volume
$87.1M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?59%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?28%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?8%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
87,115
🔴 sports
Volume
$75.8M

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?38%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?35%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?11%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
75,795
📊 world
Volume
$66.6M

Brazil Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?6%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
66,620
🔵 politics
Volume
$64.7M

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?24%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?9%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
64,735
🔵 politics
Volume
$50.2M

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Balanced market conditions

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?99%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?1%
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?1%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
70%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
50,233
🟡 crypto
Volume
$35.7M

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
+31 more outcomes
Confidence
83%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
35,725
🔵 politics
Volume
$35.5M

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election91%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election10%
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election1%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
35,457
📊 general
Volume
$35.2M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?16%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?12%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?5%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
24%
Trades
35,157
🔵 politics
Volume
$27.8M

Colombia Presidential Election

Strong consensus forming

Will Candidate M win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?50%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?42%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?39%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
71%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
27,798
🔴 sports
Volume
$24.7M

NFL Champion 2027

Balanced market conditions

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?11%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?10%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?8%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
24,702
🟢 macro
Volume
$24.2M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?56%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?21%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?13%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
87%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
24,220
🔴 sports
Volume
$23.7M

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?72%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?7%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?4%
+38 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
23,749
📊 general
Volume
$21.7M

What will happen before GTA VI?

Strong consensus forming

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?99%
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?99%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?67%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
21,665
🟢 macro
Volume
$20.7M

Fed Decision in June?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?97%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
20,680
🔴 sports
Volume
$20.0M

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?28%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?14%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?10%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
75%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
20,006
🔴 sports
Volume
$19.9M

NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?71%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?27%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?2%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
19,890
🔵 politics
Volume
$19.0M

California Governor Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?49%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?35%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?8%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
18,976
🟣 tech
Volume
$17.7M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?74%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,665
📊 world
Volume
$17.6M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?12%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?4%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,566
🔴 sports
Volume
$17.0M

F1 Constructors' Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?73%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?17%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?6%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,989
🔴 sports
Volume
$16.7M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?18%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?12%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?10%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,684
🔴 sports
Volume
$16.6M

NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?54%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?38%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?9%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,649
🔴 sports
Volume
$16.2M

French Ligue 1: Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?99%
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?1%
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?1%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,218
📊 general
Volume
$15.9M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
15,904
🟢 macro
Volume
$15.3M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June?99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?99%
+26 more outcomes
Confidence
78%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
15,267
📊 world
Volume
$15.2M

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?73%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?43%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?37%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
15,172
🔵 politics
Volume
$13.1M

Iran leadership change by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran leadership change by December 31?33%
Iran leadership change by June 30?11%
Iran leadership change by May 31?6%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
13,117
📊 world
Volume
$12.0M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strong consensus forming

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?25%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?12%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?6%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
83%
Fresh Money
24%
Trades
11,972
🟢 macro
Volume
$11.9M

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?99%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
15%
Trades
11,872
🟣 tech
Volume
$11.2M

Largest Company end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?79%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?18%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?3%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
64%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
11,168
🔵 politics
Volume
$10.7M

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?27%
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?13%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
36%
Trades
10,737
🟡 crypto
Volume
$9.2M

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

Balanced market conditions

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?99%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?53%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?44%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
38%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
9,249
🟣 tech
Volume
$7.7M

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,659
📊 world
Volume
$7.5M

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?99%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?1%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?1%
+22 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,521
📊 world
Volume
$7.5M

Iran leader end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?67%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?9%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?6%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
45%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,520
🔵 politics
Volume
$7.5M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?7%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,499
🔵 politics
Volume
$7.5M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balanced market conditions

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?40%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?38%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?13%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
59%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,490
🔵 politics
Volume
$7.2M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Strong consensus forming

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?66%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?28%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?4%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,240
🟡 crypto
Volume
$7.1M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Strong consensus forming

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?19%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?9%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?2%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
86%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,092
📊 general
Volume
$6.6M

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?30%
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?22%
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?19%
+32 more outcomes
Confidence
38%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,586
📊 world
Volume
$6.6M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?34%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?32%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?12%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,579
🟡 crypto
Volume
$6.5M

Printr public sale total commitments?

Strong consensus forming

Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale?99%
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?99%
Over $500k committed to the Printr public sale?99%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,522
🟢 macro
Volume
$6.5M

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?54%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?14%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?12%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,477
🔵 politics
Volume
$6.4M

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balanced market conditions

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House45%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House34%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House22%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
70%
Fresh Money
13%
Trades
6,411
📊 world
Volume
$6.3M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?41%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?25%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?15%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,330
🟣 tech
Volume
$6.2M

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%
Cerebras IPO before 2027?99%
Wealthfront IPO before 2027?99%
+31 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,150
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.9M

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?77%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?73%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?64%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
91%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,937
📊 general
Volume
$5.9M

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?73%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?12%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?8%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
22%
Trades
5,862
📊 world
Volume
$5.6M

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Balanced market conditions

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?90%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?9%
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?1%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
41%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,617
🟣 tech
Volume
$5.6M

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Strong consensus forming

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?51%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?38%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?3%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
93%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,610
🟣 tech
Volume
$5.6M

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?69%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?22%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?7%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
51%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
5,589
🔵 politics
Volume
$5.5M

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump and Putin not meet?91%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?2%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,452
🔵 politics
Volume
$5.3M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?9%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?2%
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,340
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.2M

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?71%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?54%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?21%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,249
🔵 politics
Volume
$5.1M

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?46%
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?22%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?12%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,147
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.1M

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?18%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?15%
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?9%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
70%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,121
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.0M

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?30%
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?24%
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?16%
+44 more outcomes
Confidence
94%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,965
🟡 crypto
Volume
$4.9M

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?93%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?91%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?77%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,902
🟣 tech
Volume
$4.8M

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?77%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?20%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?3%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
32%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
4,829
🟡 crypto
Volume
$4.8M

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?41%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,789
🟢 macro
Volume
$4.8M

Fed Decision in July?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?91%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?3%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
62%
Fresh Money
7%
Trades
4,772
🟢 macro
Volume
$4.7M

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of June?99%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,800 by end of June?99%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,735
🔵 politics
Volume
$4.5M

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Balanced market conditions

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?68%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?22%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?4%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
4,522
📊 general
Volume
$4.5M

Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?34%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?26%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?21%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
40%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,453
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.4M

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?50%
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?19%
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?9%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,366
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.3M

UEFA Europa League: Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?72%
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?28%
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?1%
+40 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,310
🔵 politics
Volume
$4.3M

Epstein client list released by...?

Strong consensus forming

Epstein client list released by June 30?3%
Epstein client list released in 2025?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,261
📊 world
Volume
$4.0M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?10%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,015
🟢 macro
Volume
$4.0M

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?99%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,990
🔵 politics
Volume
$4.0M

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Balanced market conditions

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?99%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?99%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?96%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
18%
Trades
3,983
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.7M

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?31%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?16%
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?9%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,728
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.5M

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?95%
Will Yoo Seung-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?7%
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?1%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,483
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.4M

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?43%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?14%
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?12%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
87%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,439
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.4M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Balanced market conditions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?67%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?20%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,419
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.3M

US strike on Mexico by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Mexico by December 31?14%
US strike on Mexico by January 31?1%
US strike on Mexico by March 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,348
📊 world
Volume
$3.3M

US military action against Cuba by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Cuba by December 31?38%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?1%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?1%
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,264
🟢 macro
Volume
$3.3M

LCK 2026 Season Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?49%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?22%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?16%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
94%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,258
🟣 tech
Volume
$3.2M

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

Strong consensus forming

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?93%
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?3%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,189
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.2M

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?14%
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?14%
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?11%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,173
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.1M

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?21%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?17%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?13%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
59%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
3,113
🟡 crypto
Volume
$3.0M

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?53%
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?44%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?42%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
89%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,969
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.0M

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Balanced market conditions

O/U 0.5 Rounds82%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
23%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,968
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.9M

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?99%
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?1%
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
75%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
2,854
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.8M

Largest Company end of May?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?89%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?10%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
35%
Fresh Money
13%
Trades
2,843
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.8M

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI bubble burst in 2026?28%
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,808
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.8M

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Strong consensus forming

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?52%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?42%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?3%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
94%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,766
🔴 sports
Volume
$2.7M

2026 Women's French Open Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?30%
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?25%
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?11%
+44 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,691