Browse Events

Explore multi-outcome prediction market events across all categories. See crowd sentiment, whale positions, and market dynamics in real-time.

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🔵 politics
Volume
$1252.8M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?18%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?16%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15%
+48 more outcomes
Confidence
71%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
1,252,787
🔵 politics
Volume
$686.0M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Balanced market conditions

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?43%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?23%
+40 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
686,036
🔵 politics
Volume
$678.2M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Balanced market conditions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?21%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11%
+47 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
678,211
🔴 sports
Volume
$200.8M

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?74%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?10%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?6%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
200,766
📊 world
Volume
$123.9M

Netanyahu out by...?

Strong consensus forming

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?49%
Netanyahu out by May 31?1%
Netanyahu out by July 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
123,930
🔵 politics
Volume
$120.6M

Brazil Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?27%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
120,610
📊 world
Volume
$118.0M

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?30%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?26%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?14%
+38 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
118,026
📊 world
Volume
$95.3M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?82%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?10%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?3%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
95,253
🔵 politics
Volume
$64.2M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
64,240
🟢 macro
Volume
$47.5M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?87%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?10%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?3%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
6%
Trades
47,521
🔴 sports
Volume
$43.3M

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?14%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?8%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?7%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
49%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
43,252
🔵 politics
Volume
$40.6M

California Governor Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?95%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?5%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?1%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
50%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
40,587
🔴 sports
Volume
$38.5M

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?40%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?11%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?9%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
38,494
📊 world
Volume
$38.0M

Iran leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?77%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?4%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?3%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
81%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
37,980
🔵 politics
Volume
$31.3M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?52%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?33%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?6%
+15 more outcomes
Confidence
69%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
31,344
📊 general
Volume
$30.9M

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

Strong consensus forming

New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?9%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? 5%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31? 1%
+9 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
30,873
🔵 politics
Volume
$29.1M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strong consensus forming

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?4%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
29,070
🔴 sports
Volume
$28.3M

F1 Constructors' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?85%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?13%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?2%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
67%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
28,273
🔴 sports
Volume
$27.5M

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?21%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?8%
+28 more outcomes
Confidence
26%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
27,504
🟡 crypto
Volume
$27.1M

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?3%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?1%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?1%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
27,132
📊 general
Volume
$23.3M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5%
+17 more outcomes
Confidence
59%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
23,273
🔵 politics
Volume
$22.9M

Iran leadership change by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?33%
Iran leadership change by December 31?22%
Iran leadership change by November 30?19%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
6%
Trades
22,866
📊 world
Volume
$22.1M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?99%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
22,132
📊 world
Volume
$19.8M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Strong consensus forming

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?14%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?8%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?3%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
75%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
19,829
🔴 sports
Volume
$19.6M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?27%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?15%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?12%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
77%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
19,608
🟢 macro
Volume
$18.4M

Fed Decision in September?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?63%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?36%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?2%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
18,420
🟣 tech
Volume
$18.1M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%
Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?99%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
18,137
📊 world
Volume
$17.7M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?13%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?2%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
17,696
🔵 politics
Volume
$17.3M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Balanced market conditions

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?22%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?5%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
66%
Fresh Money
7%
Trades
17,252
📊 general
Volume
$16.7M

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?92%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?8%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?1%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
51%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
16,716
🔴 sports
Volume
$15.6M

NBA: 2027 Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?22%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?21%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?13%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
22%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
15,573
📊 world
Volume
$13.9M

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

Strong consensus forming

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?91%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?89%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?84%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
13,881
📊 world
Volume
$13.7M

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Balanced market conditions

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?32%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?11%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?3%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
13,650
🔵 politics
Volume
$13.1M

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Strong consensus forming

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?67%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?31%
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?1%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
13,147
🟡 crypto
Volume
$9.5M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Strong consensus forming

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?5%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?1%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
9,480
🔵 politics
Volume
$9.5M

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balanced market conditions

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House46%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House41%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House13%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
56%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
9,475
🟡 crypto
Volume
$9.5M

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026?99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?99%
+25 more outcomes
Confidence
53%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
9,463
🟡 crypto
Volume
$8.7M

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?9%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?2%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
8,653
📊 world
Volume
$8.0M

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?32%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?20%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?12%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,962
🔴 sports
Volume
$7.8M

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Strong consensus forming

Will Player A win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?50%
Will Player B win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?50%
Will Player C win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?50%
+78 more outcomes
Confidence
74%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,834
🟣 tech
Volume
$7.8M

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,813
📊 world
Volume
$7.7M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?5%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,747
🟡 crypto
Volume
$7.5M

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?55%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?34%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?11%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
7,520
📊 world
Volume
$7.4M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?47%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?33%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?8%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
84%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,364
📊 world
Volume
$7.2M

US military action against Cuba by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Cuba by December 31?24%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?1%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,185
🟢 macro
Volume
$6.9M

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Cerebras IPO before 2027?99%
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?99%
Wealthfront IPO before 2027?99%
+31 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,944
🟢 macro
Volume
$6.7M

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?39%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?31%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?13%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
83%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,748
🟡 crypto
Volume
$6.6M

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?11%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?11%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?11%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
94%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,641
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.5M

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Balanced market conditions

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?30%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?9%
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?9%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
49%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
6,506
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.3M

Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?83%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?2%
+29 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,322
🔴 sports
Volume
$6.3M

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?24%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?12%
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?9%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
39%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,271
🔵 politics
Volume
$6.3M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?3%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?1%
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,264
🟡 crypto
Volume
$6.1M

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?86%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?80%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?76%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
79%
Fresh Money
4%
Trades
6,132
📊 world
Volume
$6.1M

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Balanced market conditions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?91%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?84%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
6,110
🔵 politics
Volume
$5.8M

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Strong consensus forming

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?36%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?14%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?3%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,820
🟢 macro
Volume
$5.7M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?71%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?16%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?11%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
47%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
5,715
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.5M

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Strong consensus forming

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?99%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?99%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?99%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
89%
Fresh Money
52%
Trades
5,540
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.5M

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Balanced market conditions

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?55%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?14%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?11%
+19 more outcomes
Confidence
39%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,519
🟡 crypto
Volume
$5.5M

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?27%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?24%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?14%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,466
🟣 tech
Volume
$5.2M

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?92%
Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?26%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?8%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
51%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
5,161
🔴 sports
Volume
$5.1M

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?13%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?10%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?4%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
10,209
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.7M

EPL: 2027 Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Team A win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?50%
Will Team B win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?50%
Will Team C win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?50%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
15%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,735
🔵 politics
Volume
$4.5M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Balanced market conditions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7%
+14 more outcomes
Confidence
40%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,475
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.4M

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Strong consensus forming

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner99%
Games Total: O/U 2.599%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?99%
+36 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
48%
Trades
22,213
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.3M

LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Strong consensus forming

LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner99%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner99%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend99%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
21,568
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.2M

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Team A win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?50%
Will Team B win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?50%
Will Team C win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?50%
+39 more outcomes
Confidence
15%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,228
🔴 sports
Volume
$4.2M

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?22%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?18%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?17%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
42%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,165
📊 world
Volume
$4.1M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?19%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
4,059
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.9M

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Strong consensus forming

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?25%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?12%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?5%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
72%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,886
📊 world
Volume
$3.9M

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Balanced market conditions

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?27%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?24%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?19%
+16 more outcomes
Confidence
49%
Fresh Money
15%
Trades
3,880
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.9M

Clacton by-election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?99%
Will Person E win the Clacton by-election?50%
Will Person F win the Clacton by-election?50%
+49 more outcomes
Confidence
44%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,878
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.8M

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?50%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?16%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?11%
+12 more outcomes
Confidence
40%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,819
🟢 macro
Volume
$3.7M

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?99%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
37%
Fresh Money
5%
Trades
3,678
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.6M

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?17%
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?14%
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?10%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
30%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,605
🟢 macro
Volume
$3.5M

LCK 2026 Season Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?30%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?25%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?23%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
92%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,506
📊 world
Volume
$3.4M

US strike on Mexico by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Mexico by December 31?9%
US strike on Mexico by January 31?1%
US strike on Mexico by March 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,438
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.4M

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Balanced market conditions

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?85%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?12%
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?2%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,412
📊 general
Volume
$3.4M

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?99%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?1%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?1%
+23 more outcomes
Confidence
33%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,352
🟡 crypto
Volume
$3.3M

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Balanced market conditions

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?99%
+21 more outcomes
Confidence
28%
Fresh Money
14%
Trades
3,345
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.3M

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?42%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?12%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?4%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,288
📊 world
Volume
$3.3M

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?46%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,283
🟣 tech
Volume
$3.3M

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Strong consensus forming

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?64%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?25%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?2%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
79%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,281
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.3M

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Balanced market conditions

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?40%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?17%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?4%
+33 more outcomes
Confidence
41%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,279
🟡 crypto
Volume
$3.3M

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?71%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?43%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?19%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,265
📊 world
Volume
$3.2M

Berlin State Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?38%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?28%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?17%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
55%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,169
🟡 crypto
Volume
$3.2M

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?10%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?9%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?7%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,156
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.1M

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?3%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?1%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,137
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.1M

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Strong consensus forming

Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?43%
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?21%
Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?19%
+22 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
3,120
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.1M

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?12%
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?1%
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
3,053
🔴 sports
Volume
$3.0M

MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher

Strong consensus forming

Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?57%
Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?20%
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?9%
+25 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,982
🔵 politics
Volume
$3.0M

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
37%
Fresh Money
3%
Trades
2,951
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.9M

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI bubble burst in 2026?15%
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?1%
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,925
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.9M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?92%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?2%
+11 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,894
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.9M

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?43%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?1%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,876
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.9M

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?99%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?99%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?85%
+10 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,868
📊 world
Volume
$2.9M

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?54%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?12%
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?1%
+7 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
2,858
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.8M

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Balanced market conditions

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?24%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?14%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?14%
+8 more outcomes
Confidence
54%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,790
🔵 politics
Volume
$2.8M

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?98%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1%
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
47%
Fresh Money
21%
Trades
2,790
🟡 crypto
Volume
$2.8M

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Strong consensus forming

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202613%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30? 1%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? 1%
+5 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
5,539
🟣 tech
Volume
$2.7M

OpenAI IPO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?16%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?3%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
2,684