Today's Signal

NVIDIA

Updated: 8h ago

The market strongly leans toward NVIDIA at 71%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~258 days
Total Volume
$1.9M
24h Change
+$49K
Active Markets
8
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
NVIDIA
#1 NVIDIA
71%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Alphabet
#2 Alphabet
13%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking largest company end of december 2026. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $1.9M shows significant market interest with 259 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 12, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

NVIDIA leads at 71%, with Alphabet at 13% -- a commanding 58-point lead 9 months out. $1.9M has traded across 259 positions with 258 days until resolution.
$1.9M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. NVIDIA's 71% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 71% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Largest Company end of December 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?71%-View market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?13%-View market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?10%-View market
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?6%-View market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1%-View market
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1%-View market
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