Today's Signal
December 31, 2026
Updated: 2 hours ago
December 31, 2026 is ahead at 25% with July 31 at 0%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Jun 3, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Pump.fun airdrop by ....??
December 31, 2026 leads at 25%, with July 31 at 0% -- a commanding 25-point lead 7 months out. $2.8M has traded across 2,750 positions with 214 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$2.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. December 31, 2026's 25% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 25% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.