Finance prediction markets on earnings, bankruptcies, M&A deals, and corporate drama. Will this company beat earnings? Does the acquisition go through? Who gets fired as CEO? If Wall Street cares, there's probably odds. See market expectations, spot earnings surprises, and explore all active finance markets.
Finance prediction markets track corporate outcomes, earnings expectations, merger completions, and regulatory approvals. Key signals include quarterly earnings reports, analyst upgrades and downgrades, insider trading patterns, and deal flow news. These markets often move in sync with equity markets but provide binary outcome clarity that equity positions do not.
Finance markets appeal to traders who actively follow specific companies or sectors. Merger arbitrage markets (will deal X close?) tend to be the most accurately priced due to institutional participation. Earnings surprise markets offer opportunities when the crowd consensus deviates significantly from model-based expectations, especially in smaller-cap companies.
Clusters of related markets, grouped by topic
25 bps increase leads at 61% odds. The second event puts 0 (0 bps) at 89%.
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Fed Decision in September?
0 (0 bps) is the strong favorite at 89% odds. The second event puts Cerebras at 99%.
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Cerebras is almost certain at 99% odds. The second event puts NVIDIA at 78%.
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IPOs before 2027?
Odds for Gen.G Esports are contested at 44%. The second event puts Bilibili Gaming at 73%.
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LCK 2026 Season Winner
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16 events