Finance prediction markets on earnings, bankruptcies, M&A deals, and corporate drama. Will this company beat earnings? Does the acquisition go through? Who gets fired as CEO? If Wall Street cares, there's probably odds. See market expectations, spot earnings surprises, and explore all active finance markets.
Finance prediction markets track corporate outcomes, earnings expectations, merger completions, and regulatory approvals. Key signals include quarterly earnings reports, analyst upgrades and downgrades, insider trading patterns, and deal flow news. These markets often move in sync with equity markets but provide binary outcome clarity that equity positions do not.
Finance markets appeal to traders who actively follow specific companies or sectors. Merger arbitrage markets (will deal X close?) tend to be the most accurately priced due to institutional participation. Earnings surprise markets offer opportunities when the crowd consensus deviates significantly from model-based expectations, especially in smaller-cap companies.
Clusters of related markets, grouped by topic
MicroStrategy selling any Bitcoin is almost certain by December 31, 2026, at 99% odds. The Fed is likely to make no change in June, with 98% odds against a change.
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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
The odds suggest no change in Fed policy in June 2026. There's a 69% chance of no rate cuts this year.
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Fed Decision in June?
Crude Oil is very likely to hit $90 by end of June. Meanwhile, Gold is expected to surge to $5,000 by the same time.
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
The odds say Strait of Hormuz traffic won't return to normal by the end of June. However, by July 31, the odds are higher at 41%.
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
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