Finance prediction markets on earnings, bankruptcies, M&A deals, and corporate drama. Will this company beat earnings? Does the acquisition go through? Who gets fired as CEO? If Wall Street cares, there's probably odds. See market expectations, spot earnings surprises, and explore all active finance markets.
Finance prediction markets track corporate outcomes, earnings expectations, merger completions, and regulatory approvals. Key signals include quarterly earnings reports, analyst upgrades and downgrades, insider trading patterns, and deal flow news. These markets often move in sync with equity markets but provide binary outcome clarity that equity positions do not.
Finance markets appeal to traders who actively follow specific companies or sectors. Merger arbitrage markets (will deal X close?) tend to be the most accurately priced due to institutional participation. Earnings surprise markets offer opportunities when the crowd consensus deviates significantly from model-based expectations, especially in smaller-cap companies.
Clusters of related markets, grouped by topic
The odds are very high that the Fed will make no change in April 2026. There's a 35% chance of no Fed rate cuts in 2026, suggesting some uncertainty.
Hottest
Fed decision in April?
WTI Crude Oil is expected to hit $110 in April 2026. The odds also suggest crude oil will reach $90 by the end of June.
Hottest
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
The odds suggest no Fed rate cuts in 2026. NVIDIA is the most likely largest company at the end of December 2026.
Hottest
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Highest volume, sorted by your preference
Filter by time horizon or volume to find the right market
13 events
Fed decision in April?
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Fed Decision in June?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Fed Decision in July?
LCK 2026 Season Winner
Largest Company end of December 2026?
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
Markets covering corporate outcomes - earnings results, mergers and acquisitions, regulatory approvals, product launches, and analyst ratings. Often correlated with but providing different exposures than equity market positions.