Today's Signal

Ulf Kristersson

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Ulf Kristersson at 55%, with Magdalena Andersson trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~236 days
Total Volume
$11.5M
24h Change
+$299K
Active Markets
10
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Ulf Kristersson
#1 Ulf Kristersson
55%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Magdalena Andersson
#2 Magdalena Andersson
41%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Medium
Ebba Busch
Ebba Busch✦ Surprise
1%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking next prime minister of sweden. Each candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on candidates they believe will win, or NO on candidates they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on polling data, endorsements, fundraising numbers, debates, and major political developments. Trading volume of $11.5M shows significant market interest with 11,493 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 2, 2027
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Ulf Kristersson leads at 55%, with Magdalena Andersson at 41% -- a 14-point lead 8 months out. $11.5M has traded across 11,493 positions with 236 days until resolution.
$11.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Ulf Kristersson's 55% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 55% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Next Prime Minister of Sweden event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Ulf Kristersson55%$2372KView market
Magdalena Andersson41%$3183KView market
Ebba Busch1%$1035KView market
Jimmie Åkesson0%$1951KView market
Nooshi Dadgostar0%$1042KView market
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%$746KView market
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Guide

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Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

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