Today's Signal

Magdalena Andersson

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Magdalena Andersson at 69%, with Ulf Kristersson trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~119 days
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Change
+$51K
Active Markets
3
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Magdalena Andersson
#1 Magdalena Andersson
69%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Ulf Kristersson
#2 Ulf Kristersson
28%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Jimmie Åkesson
Jimmie Åkesson✦ Surprise
3%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking next prime minister of sweden. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible sources.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on official announcements, news developments, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.0M shows significant market interest with 22 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 19, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Sep 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Magdalena Andersson leads at 69%, with Ulf Kristersson at 28% -- a commanding 41-point lead 4 months out. $2.0M has traded across 22 positions with 119 days until resolution.
$2.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Magdalena Andersson's 69% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 69% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Next Prime Minister of Sweden event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?69%-View market
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?28%-View market
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?3%-View market
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?0%-View market
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?0%-View market
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?0%-View market
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