Track live prediction market odds on elections, policy decisions, and political events. See where traders are putting money on outcomes from presidential races to legislative votes.
Politics prediction markets respond fastest to polls, endorsements, debate performance, and primary results. Major shifts happen when unexpected candidates enter races, when scandals break, or when economic data shifts voter priorities. Unlike traditional polls, these markets price in both probability and trader conviction β sometimes the crowd and the money disagree, which creates arbitrage opportunities.
Markets on policy outcomes (bills passing, Supreme Court decisions, regulatory actions) tend to be more volatile than candidate markets because fewer people understand the mechanics. This is where informed traders can find edge. The most mispriced markets tend to be local races and downballot contests where less information is publicly available.
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Markets where traders bet real money on political outcomes like elections, policy decisions, and legislative votes. Prices reflect the crowd's probability estimate of each outcome β a market at 72% means the collective thinks there's a 72% chance that event occurs.