Today's Signal

$100M

Updated: 18h ago

Traders currently favor $100M at 53%, with $500M trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~238 days
Total Volume
$3.0M
24h Change
+$77K
Active Markets
8
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
$100M
#1 $100M
52%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
$500M
#2 $500M
44%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
$700M
$700M✦ Surprise
34%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? (between Nov 4, 2025 and Jan 1, 2027). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and revenue timing and adoption curve. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, roadmap signals.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 4, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

$100M leads at 52%, with $500M at 44% -- a tight race, only 8% separates them 8 months out. $3.0M has traded across 2,700 positions with 238 days until resolution.
$3.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. $100M's 52% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 52% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?52%-View market
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?44%-View market
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?42%-View market
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?34%-View market
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?19%-View market
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?9%-View market
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