Economic prediction markets on Fed decisions, inflation, recession odds, and macro events that move money. Will rates get cut? Is a recession coming? What's unemployment next quarter? See what traders expect, compare Fed speak to market reality, and track all active economic markets.
Economics prediction markets are driven by macroeconomic data releases: CPI, jobs numbers, GDP revisions, and Federal Reserve meeting outcomes. Markets typically react within minutes of data publication, with the biggest moves when actual figures diverge from consensus estimates. Interest rate expectations are the most actively traded macro prediction markets globally.
Unlike politics or sports, macro markets attract sophisticated institutional participation, making them harder to beat consistently. Edge exists when you understand how Fed communication shifts market expectations before official decisions, or when you can correctly model how one data release affects another. Central bank policy markets are particularly liquid and often highly accurate predictors of near-term outcomes.
Clusters of related markets, grouped by topic
The odds are very high that the Fed will make no change in April 2026. There's a 35% chance of no Fed rate cuts in 2026, suggesting some uncertainty.
Hottest
Fed decision in April?
WTI Crude Oil is expected to hit $110 in April 2026. The odds also suggest crude oil will reach $90 by the end of June.
Hottest
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
The odds suggest no Fed rate cuts in 2026. NVIDIA is the most likely largest company at the end of December 2026.
Hottest
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
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13 events
Fed decision in April?
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Fed Decision in June?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Fed Decision in July?
LCK 2026 Season Winner
Largest Company end of December 2026?
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
Markets that price the probability of economic outcomes: Fed rate decisions, inflation targets, GDP growth, unemployment levels, and policy announcements. Used by traders, economists, and analysts to track consensus expectations in real-time.