Economic prediction markets on Fed decisions, inflation, recession odds, and macro events that move money. Will rates get cut? Is a recession coming? What's unemployment next quarter? See what traders expect, compare Fed speak to market reality, and track all active economic markets.
Economics prediction markets are driven by macroeconomic data releases: CPI, jobs numbers, GDP revisions, and Federal Reserve meeting outcomes. Markets typically react within minutes of data publication, with the biggest moves when actual figures diverge from consensus estimates. Interest rate expectations are the most actively traded macro prediction markets globally.
Unlike politics or sports, macro markets attract sophisticated institutional participation, making them harder to beat consistently. Edge exists when you understand how Fed communication shifts market expectations before official decisions, or when you can correctly model how one data release affects another. Central bank policy markets are particularly liquid and often highly accurate predictors of near-term outcomes.
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MicroStrategy selling any Bitcoin is almost certain by December 31, 2026. The odds of no change in the Fed's decision in June are very high at 98%.
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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
There is almost no chance of a Fed rate change in June at 98% odds. The odds of zero rate cuts in 2026 are higher at 69%.
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Fed Decision in June?
Crude Oil is very likely to hit $90 by end of June. Gold is also expected to rise significantly, with a predicted $5,000 by end of June.
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
The odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by the end of June are very low at 19%. By July 31, odds are higher at 41%.
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
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