Today's Signal

by December 31, 2026

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — by December 31, 2026 leads at 10% with by June 30, 2026 close at 1%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~224 days
Total Volume
$18.4M
24h Change
+$477K
Active Markets
5
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
by December 31, 2026
#1 by December 31, 2026
10%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
by June 30, 2026
#2 by June 30, 2026
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking when will bitcoin hit $150k. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $18.4M shows significant market interest with 18,360 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓When will Bitcoin hit $150k
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

by December 31, 2026 leads at 10%, with by June 30, 2026 at 1% -- a tight race, only 9% separates them 7 months out. $18.4M has traded across 18,360 positions with 224 days until resolution.
$18.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. by December 31, 2026's 10% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 10% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the When will Bitcoin hit $150k? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
by December 31, 202610%$292KView market
by June 30, 20261%$15734KView market
by December 31, 20250%$1556KView market
by September 30, 20250%$779KView market
by March 31, 20260%-View market
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