Today's Signal
$50M
Updated: 21h ago
Traders currently favor $50M at 70%, with $100M trailing.
0%
Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Dec 23, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M leads at 71%, with $100M at 51% -- a commanding 20-point lead 8 months out. $5.2M has traded across 2,849 positions with 238 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$5.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. $50M's 71% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 71% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.