Today's Signal

$50M

Updated: 2h ago

The market strongly leans toward $50M at 78%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~283 days
Total Volume
$5.0M
24h Change
+$130K
Active Markets
5
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
$50M
#1 $50M
69%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
$100M
#2 $100M
41%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
$400M
$400M✦ Surprise
2%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks puffpaw fdv above ___ one day after launch? (between Dec 23, 2025 and Jan 1, 2027). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and bragging rights and prediction accuracy. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, historical patterns and trends.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw https://www.puffpaw.xyz/ doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 23, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

$50M leads at 69%, with $100M at 41% -- a commanding 28-point lead 9 months out. $5.0M has traded across 1,275 positions with 283 days until resolution.
$5.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. $50M's 69% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 69% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?69%-View market
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?41%-View market
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?16%-View market
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?9%-View market
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?2%-View market
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