Today's Signal
December Meeting
Updated: 2 hours ago
No clear favorite yet-December Meeting leads at 28% with October Meeting close at 27%, signaling a competitive race.
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Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Dec 16, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 17, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting leads at 28%, with October Meeting at 27% -- an unusually tight race -- only 1% separates them 31 days out. $1.7M has traded across 275 positions with 31 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$1.7M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. December Meeting's 28% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 28% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.