Today's Signal

iRobot

Updated: 3h ago

The market currently leans toward iRobot as the favorite at 99%, with Warner Bros.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~282 days
Total Volume
$16.1M
24h Change
+$419K
Active Markets
16
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
iRobot
#1 iRobot
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Warner Bros. Discovery
#2 Warner Bros. Discovery
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Nebius Group
Nebius Group✦ Surprise
22%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks what the outcome will be (during the period). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and bragging rights and prediction accuracy. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, historical patterns and trends.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 24, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

iRobot leads at 100%, with Warner Bros. Discovery at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 9 months out. $16.1M has traded across 16 positions with 282 days until resolution.
$16.1M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. iRobot's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Which companies will be acquired before 2027? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?100%-View market
Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?100%-View market
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?65%-View market
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?49%-View market
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?39%-View market
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?33%-View market
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