Today's Signal

Jon Ossoff

Updated: 2 hours ago

Jon Ossoff is ahead at 28% with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~733 days
Total Volume
$1311.0M
24h Change
+$34087K
Active Markets
56
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Jon Ossoff
#1 Jon Ossoff
28%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
#2 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
17%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking democratic presidential nominee 2028. Each candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on candidates they believe will win, or NO on candidates they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on polling data, endorsements, fundraising numbers, debates, and major political developments. Trading volume of $1311.0M shows significant market interest with 999,999 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Sep 9, 2028
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Nov 8, 2028
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Jon Ossoff leads at 28%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17% -- a 11-point lead 2 years out. $1311.0M has traded across 999,999 positions with 733 days until resolution.
$1311.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. High volume on long-horizon events like this typically signals strong early conviction rather than reaction to recent news.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Jon Ossoff's 28% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 28% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Jon Ossoff28%$14581KView market
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%$15877KView market
Gavin Newsom13%$28213KView market
Kamala Harris5%$14737KView market
Pete Buttigieg5%$12348KView market
Andy Beshear4%$13693KView market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Accuracy

Prediction markets vs. polls - who gets it right?

Guide

How to read prediction market odds on elections

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Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

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