Today's Signal

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 59%, with Avengers: Doomsday trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~215 days
Total Volume
$9.5M
24h Change
+$247K
Active Markets
14
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
#1 Spider-Man: Brand New Day
59%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Avengers: Doomsday
#2 Avengers: Doomsday
18%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Scream 7
Scream 7✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking highest grossing movie in 2026. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $9.5M shows significant market interest with 9,512 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 12, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 59%, with Avengers: Doomsday at 18% -- a commanding 41-point lead 7 months out. $9.5M has traded across 9,512 positions with 215 days until resolution.
$9.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 59% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 59% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Highest grossing movie in 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Spider-Man: Brand New Day59%$276KView market
Avengers: Doomsday18%$345KView market
Toy Story 514%$264KView market
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie4%$277KView market
The Odyssey3%$440KView market
Scream 71%$1657KView market
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