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99% of bettors back the market, not the loudest takes

Not analysts. Not influencers. People with real money at stake now price 99% on ↑ 1,750 in What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?. That framing changed by +16% versus the prior baseline, and the movement feed confirms the crowd is still reacting in real time.

Active Events24
Total Volume$123.4M
Biggest mover (24h)Bitcoin above ___ on J -44.1%
Crowd SentimentBullish

This Week's Intelligence

All analysis →

Conviction Is Concentrating

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? leads at 99% on ↑ 1,750 with 8,151,282.11 in total volume. That is where the strongest long-horizon conviction is currently concentrated.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? supports the same broad direction at 4%, which keeps the short and long frames aligned.

Where Risk Still Sits

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? still leaves room for disagreement, especially as short-horizon contracts resolve faster and react harder to intraday information shocks.

Bitcoin above ___ on July 17? moved -44% in 24h, reminding traders that short windows can reprice rapidly even when the long window stays stable.

⚡ The Divergence

What markets price

99%

of bettors with real money at stake on the leading crypto anchor market

Crowd Sentiment

↑ Bullish

aggregate signal across all active crypto anchor markets this week

The crowd with money and the crowd with opinions are still not telling the same story. They cannot both be right. The next resolution window will force the gap to close.

Read the full take →

All Crypto Events

24 active events - Polymarket - updated live

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Time:
Volume:

24 events

Event

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

4%by December 31, 2026
$27.1M+0.8%168d5 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

99%↑ 65,000
$11.1M+43.5%15d26 markets

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

5%December 31, 2026
$9.3M-0.4%168d4 markets

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

18%December 31, 2026
$8.6M-1.0%168d4 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

99%↑ 1,750
$8.2M+15.5%168d27 markets

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

64%December 31, 2027
$7.4M+1.0%533d6 markets

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

28%$100M
$6.5M+3.0%168d8 markets

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

91%$50M
$5.8M-3.0%533d11 markets

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

44%$50M
$5.4M-10.5%168d5 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

6%Yes
$4.5M0.0%168d1 market

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

24%$100M
$3.1M+1.0%168d8 markets

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

74%$150M
$3.1M+1.0%168d7 markets

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

14%December 31, 2026
$2.8M-1.5%168d8 markets

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%December 31, 2026
$2.6M-0.7%168d8 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in July?

99%↑ 1,900
$2.6M+20.0%15d29 markets

Ethereum all time high by ___?

5%December 31, 2026
$2.3M-0.1%168d4 markets

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

31%Yes
$1.9M-5.0%168d1 market

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

99%↑ 70
$1.7M+28.0%168d27 markets

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

97%$100M
$1.7M-2.5%533d10 markets

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

24%December 31, 2026
$1.6M-0.5%168d4 markets

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

23%December 31, 2026
$1.6M+1.0%168d4 markets

Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

99%>2M
$1.6M+32.5%46d28 markets

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

75%$100M
$1.5M+4.5%168d11 markets

Bitcoin above ___ on July 17?

99%54,000
$1.3M-44.1%3h11 markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Crypto prediction markets let people bet real money on whether specific crypto events will happen - Bitcoin hitting a price target, a regulatory decision, exchange events. Unlike analyst forecasts, the odds reflect actual financial conviction. Full guide →