Live Tracker

Real capital keeps stacking behind crypto's lead scenario

Not analysts. Not influencers. People with real money at stake now price 99% on ↑ 2,500 in What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?. That framing changed by +42% versus the prior baseline, and the movement feed confirms the crowd is still reacting in real time.

Active Events25
Total Volume$166.8M
Biggest mover (24h)What price will XRP hi +97.1%
Crowd SentimentBullish

This Week's Intelligence

All analysis →

Conviction Is Concentrating

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? leads at 99% on ↑ 2,500 with 12,834,668.881 in total volume. That is where the strongest long-horizon conviction is currently concentrated.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? supports the same broad direction at 21%, which keeps the short and long frames aligned.

Where Risk Still Sits

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? still leaves room for disagreement, especially as short-horizon contracts resolve faster and react harder to intraday information shocks.

What price will XRP hit in August? moved +97% in 24h, reminding traders that short windows can reprice rapidly even when the long window stays stable.

⚡ The Divergence

What markets price

99%

of bettors with real money at stake on the leading crypto anchor market

Crowd Sentiment

↑ Bullish

aggregate signal across all active crypto anchor markets this week

The crowd with money and the crowd with opinions are still not telling the same story. They cannot both be right. The next resolution window will force the gap to close.

Read the full take →

All Crypto Events

25 active events - Polymarket - updated live

+ Show all events
Time:
Volume:

25 events

Event

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

99%↑ 80,000
$27.9M+88.4%13h47 markets

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

21%by December 31, 2027
$27.2M+2.5%123d9 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

99%↑ 2,500
$12.8M+42.4%123d30 markets

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

14%Yes
$11.5M0.0%123d1 market

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

9%December 31, 2026
$9.8M-0.4%123d4 markets

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

9%December 31, 2026
$8.7M-0.1%123d4 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in August?

99%↑ 2,500
$8.4M+96.9%13h43 markets

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

57%December 31, 2027
$7.6M-1.5%488d6 markets

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

22%$500M
$6.7M-3.0%123d8 markets

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

88%$50M
$6.3M+1.0%488d11 markets

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

26%$50M
$5.5M-0.5%123d5 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

5%Yes
$4.9M0.0%123d1 market

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

59%$150M
$3.7M+4.0%123d7 markets

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11%$300M
$3.2M-1.2%123d8 markets

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

14%December 31, 2026
$2.8M-2.5%123d8 markets

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%December 31, 2026
$2.6M-3.5%123d8 markets

Ethereum all time high by ___?

7%December 31, 2026
$2.4M-0.1%123d4 markets

What price will XRP hit in August?

99%↑ 1.60
$2.2M+97.1%13h29 markets

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

98%$100M
$2.2M-2.2%488d10 markets

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

99%↑ 70
$2.1M+57.5%123d38 markets

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

99%↑ 100
$1.8M+26.0%123d29 markets

What price will Solana hit in August?

99%↑ 110
$1.6M+77.9%13h23 markets

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

21%December 31, 2026
$1.6M-2.4%123d4 markets

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

57%June 30, 2027
$1.6M+8.0%123d7 markets

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

65%$50M
$1.5M-0.2%123d11 markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Crypto prediction markets let people bet real money on whether specific crypto events will happen - Bitcoin hitting a price target, a regulatory decision, exchange events. Unlike analyst forecasts, the odds reflect actual financial conviction. Full guide →