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Crypto conviction moved fast this week and the crowd noticed

Not analysts. Not influencers. People with real money at stake now price 99% on ↓ 85,000 in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?. That framing changed by +19% versus the prior baseline, and the movement feed confirms the crowd is still reacting in real time.

Active Events21
Total Volume$133.4M
Biggest mover (24h)Bitcoin above ___ on J -71.0%
Crowd SentimentBullish

This Week's Intelligence

All analysis →

Conviction Is Concentrating

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? leads at 99% on ↓ 85,000 with 39,425,225.801 in total volume. That is where the strongest long-horizon conviction is currently concentrated.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? supports the same broad direction at 7%, which keeps the short and long frames aligned.

Where Risk Still Sits

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? still leaves room for disagreement, especially as short-horizon contracts resolve faster and react harder to intraday information shocks.

Bitcoin above ___ on June 2? moved -71% in 24h, reminding traders that short windows can reprice rapidly even when the long window stays stable.

⚡ The Divergence

What markets price

99%

of bettors with real money at stake on the leading crypto anchor market

Crowd Sentiment

↑ Bullish

aggregate signal across all active crypto anchor markets this week

The crowd with money and the crowd with opinions are still not telling the same story. They cannot both be right. The next resolution window will force the gap to close.

Read the full take →

All Crypto Events

21 active events - Polymarket - updated live

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Time:
Volume:

21 events

Event

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

99%↓ 85,000
$39.4M+18.5%214d34 markets

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

7%by December 31, 2026
$24.0M-1.0%214d5 markets

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

33%December 31, 2026
$8.6M-0.1%214d4 markets

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

13%December 31, 2026
$7.7M-1.5%214d4 markets

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

31%December 31, 2026
$6.8M-2.0%214d3 markets

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

56%$100M
$6.1M+3.5%214d8 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

99%↓ 2,000
$5.6M+15.5%214d16 markets

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

64%$50M
$5.3M-2.5%214d5 markets

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

94%$50M
$5.3M-4.0%579d11 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

7%Yes
$3.2M-0.3%213d1 market

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

34%$500M
$3.0M-3.5%214d8 markets

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

25%December 31, 2026
$2.8M-1.1%214d8 markets

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%December 31, 2026
$2.6M+2.0%214d8 markets

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

73%$150M
$2.5M+7.0%214d7 markets

Ethereum all time high by ___?

9%December 31, 2026
$2.2M-0.4%214d4 markets

Bitcoin above ___ on June 2?

99%66,000
$1.5M-71.0%11h11 markets

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

56%December 31, 2026
$1.5M+1.5%214d4 markets

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

97%$100M
$1.4M-3.0%579d10 markets

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

66%$200M
$1.4M+0.5%214d9 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit on June 1?

99%↓ 73,000
$1.3M-61.9%Expired16 markets

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

99%↑ 70
$1.3M+28.0%214d19 markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Crypto prediction markets let people bet real money on whether specific crypto events will happen - Bitcoin hitting a price target, a regulatory decision, exchange events. Unlike analyst forecasts, the odds reflect actual financial conviction. Full guide →