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🔴 sports

Volume

$698.2M

Pro Football Champion 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?68%

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?32%

Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?1%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?30%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8%

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?6%

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Balanced market conditions

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?95%

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?8%

archWill Trump nominate James Bullard as the next Fed chair?4%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?12%

2026 NBA Champion

Strong consensus forming

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?37%

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?12%

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?7%

English Premier League Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?80%

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?14%

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?2%

UEFA Champions League Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?20%

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?17%

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?12%

US strikes Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?52%

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?40%

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?28%

Portugal Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?99%

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?1%

Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?1%

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16%

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?14%

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?13%

La Liga Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?60%

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?39%

Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?1%

Fed decision in March?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?82%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?14%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?1%

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Strong consensus forming

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?98%

archived Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?61%

archived Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA + D66?56%

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

Balanced market conditions

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?99%

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

Strong consensus forming

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? 8%

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? 1%

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 14? 1%

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?99%

Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?1%

Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?1%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

NBA MVP

Balanced market conditions

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?66%

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?20%

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?7%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?26%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?11%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?4%

What will happen before GTA VI?

Strong consensus forming

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?94%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?61%

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?61%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?70%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?12%

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?10%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?66%

Brazil Presidential Election

Strong consensus forming

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?53%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?25%

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?8%

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?72%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?23%

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?5%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (10% vs 8%)

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?12%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?3%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?1%

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?72%

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?18%

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?6%

Seattle vs. New England

Balanced market conditions

Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.588%

AJ Barner: Receiving Yards O/U 1.584%

Stefon Diggs: Receiving Yards O/U 5.583%

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?22%

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?15%

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?9%

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?64%

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?54%

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?42%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Strong consensus forming

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?1%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?1%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?1%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (18% vs 15%)

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?50%

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?17%

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?12%

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Balanced market conditions

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?98%

Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?1%

Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (43% vs 41%)

US next strikes Iran on...?

Balanced market conditions

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?72%

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?5%

Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?3%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (12% vs 7%)

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

Strong consensus forming

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?96%

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?96%

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?95%

What price will Ethereum hit in February?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?99%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?99%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?99%

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (23% vs 20%)

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?37%

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?11%

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?1%

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?18%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?17%

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?15%

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?6%

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?3%

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?1%

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?13%

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?1%

Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?1%

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?95%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (7% vs 1%)

What price will Solana hit in February?

Balanced market conditions

Will Solana dip to $70 in February?99%

Will Solana dip to $100 in February?99%

Will Solana dip to $110 in February?99%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (12% vs 9%)

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?69%

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?31%

Will Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?1%

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?84%

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?7%

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?3%

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?89%

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?5%

Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?4%

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?54%

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?21%

Will Base launch a token in 2025?1%

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?31%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?14%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12%

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Strong consensus forming

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?84%

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?11%

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?6%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?88%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?46%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?20%

Next President of Vietnam

Strong consensus forming

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?90%

Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?7%

Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?2%

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?50%

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?40%

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? 1%

Bitcoin above ___ on February 6?

Balanced market conditions

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 6?1%

Grizzlies vs. Lakers

Strong consensus forming

Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.599%

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)99%

Spread: Lakers (-5.5)99%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?27%

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?27%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?16%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (28% vs 23%)

Bucks vs. Hawks

Strong consensus forming

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 212.599%

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 211.599%

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 207.599%

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (33% vs 30%)

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?13%

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9%

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9%

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?74%

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?11%

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?8%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?29%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?9%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (10% vs 2%)

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of February?99%

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of February?99%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?99%

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?58%

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?28%

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?1%

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?87%

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?11%

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?2%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (33% vs 31%)

Epstein client list released by...?

Strong consensus forming

Epstein client list released by June 30?21%

Epstein client list released in 2025?1%

Opinion FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Balanced market conditions

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?72%

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?28%

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?18%

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?26%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?1%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?1%

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?32%

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?19%

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?10%

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?70%

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?18%

Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?6%

Colombia Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Candidate M win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?50%

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?38%

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?38%

What will Trump say this week (February 8)?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)99%

Will Trump say "Submarine" or "Helicopter" this week? (February 8)99%

Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Cigar" this week? (February 8)99%

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?12%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?5%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?2%

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%

Wealthfront IPO before 2027?99%

Discord IPO before 2027?92%

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?55%

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?34%

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?9%

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (8% vs 1%)

Total commitments for the Hurupay public sale on MetaDAO

Balanced market conditions

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?79%

Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?53%

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?39%

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?71%

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?35%

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?11%

What price will Bitcoin hit February 2-8?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?99%

Trump out as President before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of February?

Balanced market conditions

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?99%

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?99%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?99%

Magic vs. Nets

Strong consensus forming

1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)99%

Magic vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline99%

Michael Porter Jr.: Points Over 24.599%

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Strong consensus forming

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?14%

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?1%

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?1%

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Strong consensus forming

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202640%

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? 8%

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18? 1%

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Balanced market conditions

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.586%

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.570%

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.567%

How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?

Strong consensus forming

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?96%

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?2%

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?1%

Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price?

Strong consensus forming

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?98%

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?97%

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?88%

Bundesliga Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?93%

Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?3%

Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?2%

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?17%

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?7%

Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?1%

Serie A League Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?78%

Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?11%

Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?5%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (5% vs 3%)

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Strong consensus forming

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage99%

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner99%

Games Total: O/U 2.599%

Trump out as President by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (6% vs 3%)