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🔴 sports

Volume

$3456.0M

World Cup Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?23%

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?19%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?13%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?9%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Balanced market conditions

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?38%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?22%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Strong consensus forming

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?14%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12%

F1 Drivers' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?53%

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?24%

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?13%

Netanyahu out by...?

Strong consensus forming

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?48%

Netanyahu out by July 31?2%

Netanyahu out by March 31?1%

Brazil Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24%

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12%

Next French Presidential Election

Balanced market conditions

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?26%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?19%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?80%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?14%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?3%

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (7% vs 1%)

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?9%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?4%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?1%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

California Governor Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?90%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?8%

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?1%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?78%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?14%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?3%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (4% vs 1%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (23% vs 14%)

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?53%

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?24%

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?9%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (6% vs 1%)

NFL Champion 2027

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?17%

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?7%

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?7%

Germany vs. Paraguay

High FOMO activity - surge in new positions

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?99%

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?1%

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?1%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June?99%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?99%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (9% vs 6%)

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?99%

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?99%

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?30%

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?14%

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?9%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strong consensus forming

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?13%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? 2%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?1%

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Strong consensus forming

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?4%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?1%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?1%

F1 Constructors' Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?87%

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?8%

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?2%

Fed Decision in July?

Balanced market conditions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%

Largest Company end of June?

Strong consensus forming

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?99%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?1%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?1%

Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Balanced market conditions

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.599%

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.599%

Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score99%

What will happen before GTA VI?

Strong consensus forming

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?99%

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?99%

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?52%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?41%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?13%

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?99%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?1%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?1%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?7%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?1%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?1%

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?11%

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10%

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8%

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Strong consensus forming

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?23%

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?12%

Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?10%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (18% vs 10%)

Iran leadership change by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran leadership change by December 31?15%

Iran leadership change by July 31?10%

Iran leadership change by September 30?9%

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Strong consensus forming

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?21%

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?11%

Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?8%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?99%

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?1%

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?1%

Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?1%

Iran leader end of 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84%

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?4%

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?3%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Strong consensus forming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?20%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?3%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?1%

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?98%

Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?1%

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?1%

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?73%

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?12%

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?6%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Balanced market conditions

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?57%

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?30%

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?7%

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?99%

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?99%

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?99%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (7% vs 1%)

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?58%

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?10%

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?8%

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (10% vs 4%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (17% vs 13%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (39% vs 36%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (14% vs 11%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (10% vs 6%)

Trump out as President by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (7% vs 1%)

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump and Putin not meet?99%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?1%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?1%

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Strong consensus forming

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?6%

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?3%

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?1%

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?21%

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?4%

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?1%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?99%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?99%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?99%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balanced market conditions

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House43%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House39%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House18%

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Balanced market conditions

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?92%

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?2%

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?1%

What price will Ethereum hit in June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?99%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?99%

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?99%

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Balanced market conditions

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?65%

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?30%

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4%

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?99%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?6%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?1%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?1%

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?77%

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?55%

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?28%

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?99%

Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026?99%

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?99%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of June?99%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,800 by end of June?99%

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?55%

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?28%

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?3%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Balanced market conditions

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?23%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?13%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?9%

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?99%

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%

Cerebras IPO before 2027?99%

US military action against Cuba by...?

Strong consensus forming

US strike on Cuba by December 31?41%

US strike on Cuba by March 31?1%

US strike on Cuba by January 31?1%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?29%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?19%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?14%

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Balanced market conditions

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?41%

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?38%

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?23%

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?35%

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?35%

Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?78%

Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next?21%

Will Maxx Crosby play for Seattle Seahawks next?6%

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?29%

Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?13%

Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?10%

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?5%

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?1%

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?1%

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?99%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?99%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?99%

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?94%

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?86%

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?79%

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Strong consensus forming

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?57%

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?51%

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?28%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Strong consensus forming

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?11%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?1%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?1%

Netherlands vs. Morocco

Balanced market conditions

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?41%

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?32%

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?28%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (14% vs 7%)

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?15%

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?10%

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?8%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Strong consensus forming

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?43%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?26%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?13%

Elon Musk # tweets June 23 - June 30, 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?68%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?24%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?4%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Balanced market conditions

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?27%

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?16%

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?14%

Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Balanced market conditions

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?99%

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?1%

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?1%

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Strong consensus forming

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?1%

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?1%

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?1%

Epstein client list released by...?

Strong consensus forming

Epstein client list released in 2025?1%

Epstein client list released by June 30?1%

Epstein client list released by July 31?1%

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (7% vs 1%)

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?1%

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?1%

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (11% vs 8%)

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?1%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?1%

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Balanced market conditions

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?32%

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?21%

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?10%