Politics Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

LIVE
16% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 16% odds with $973K positioned by 972 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$973K
24h Volume
$25.3K
Active Traders
972

This market resolves YES if china x taiwan military clash before 2027. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

16%
$156K staked

Market predicts YES

84%
$817K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$120K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$973K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 33/100
$973K traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades972
Total volume$973K
Liquidity$120K