Today's Signal

Graham Platner

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors Graham Platner at 96%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~7 days
Total Volume
$3.2M
24h Change
+$84K
Active Markets
7
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Graham Platner
#1 Graham Platner
96%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
Janet Mills
#2 Janet Mills
4%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking maine democratic senate primary winner. Each candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on candidates they believe will win, or NO on candidates they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on polling data, endorsements, fundraising numbers, debates, and major political developments. Trading volume of $3.2M shows significant market interest with 3,239 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Sep 15, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 9, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Graham Platner leads at 96%, with Janet Mills at 4% -- a commanding 92-point lead 7 days out. $3.2M has traded across 3,239 positions with 7 days until resolution.
$3.2M total, only $57K moved in the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Graham Platner's 96% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 96% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Graham Platner96%$2089KView market
Janet Mills4%$494KView market
Jordan Wood0%$207KView market
Troy Jackson0%$167KView market
Jared Golden0%$109KView market
Chellie Pingree0%$91KView market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

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Accuracy

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Guide

How to read prediction market odds on elections

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Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

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