Today's Signal
Graham Platner
Updated: 3h ago
The market strongly leans toward Graham Platner at 90%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
Crowd vs Money
A PredictionCircle signalCrowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
#1 Graham Platner
90%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
#2 Janet Mills
9%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
- Includes both YES and NO positions
- Not investment advice
- Visuals are comparative, not exact
Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Sep 15, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
Graham Platner leads at 90%, with Janet Mills at 9% -- a commanding 81-point lead 4 months out. $2.5M has traded across 1,589 positions with 106 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$2.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Graham Platner's 90% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 90% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.