Today's Signal

Graham Platner

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors Graham Platner at 99%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~74 days
Total Volume
$3.0M
24h Change
+$77K
Active Markets
2
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Graham Platner
#1 Graham Platner
99%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
Janet Mills
#2 Janet Mills
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking maine democratic senate primary winner. Each candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on candidates they believe will win, or NO on candidates they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on polling data, endorsements, fundraising numbers, debates, and major political developments. Trading volume of $3.0M shows significant market interest with 1,864 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Sep 15, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Graham Platner leads at 99%, with Janet Mills at 1% -- a commanding 98-point lead 74 days out. $3.0M has traded across 1,864 positions with 74 days until resolution.
$3.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Graham Platner's 99% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 99% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?99%-View market
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?1%-View market
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?0%-View market
Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?0%-View market
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?0%-View market
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?0%-View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Accuracy

Prediction markets vs. polls - who gets it right?

Guide

How to read prediction market odds on elections

Legal

Are prediction markets legal?

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms