Who is currently leading in the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

NO holds at 95% 6 months out. $1.4M has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 168 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$1.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 95% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 95% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

LIVE

5% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of July 16, 2026, This market leads at 5% odds with $1.4M positioned by 1,400 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$1.4M

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (95%)

This market resolves YES if the u.s. invade greenland in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

$70K staked

Market predicts YES

95%

$1.33M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$67K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$1.40M

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 95% odds. As of 7/16/2026, this market has $1.4M traded and 1,400 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 30/100

$1.4M traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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Resolution Rules