Who is currently leading in Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES holds at 54% 5 months out. $4.2M has traded, suggesting moderate conviction from the market with 143 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$4.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 54% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 54% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Fed rate hike in 2026?

LIVE

54% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of July 19, 2026, This market leads at 54% odds with $4.2M positioned by 4,224 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$4.2M

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (54%)

This market resolves YES if fed rate hike in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

54%

$2.28M staked

Market predicts YES

46%

$1.94M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$145K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$4.22M

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market is uncertain with YES at 54% and NO at 46%. As of 7/19/2026, this market has $4.2M traded and 4,224 traders.

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Market Confidence

MEDIUM

Score: 54/100

$4.2M traded · Deep liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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