Macro Prediction Markets·Economic Policy·2027

US recession by end of 2026?

LIVE
23% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 2, 2026, This outcome leads at 23% odds with $291K positioned by 290 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$291K
24h Volume
$7.6K
Active Traders
290

This market resolves YES if us recession by end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

23%
$67K staked

Market predicts YES

77%
$224K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$41K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$291K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$291K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~335
Number of trades290
Total volume$291K
Liquidity$41K