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🟣 tech

Volume

$16.6M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?49%

IPOs before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?99%

Wealthfront IPO before 2027?99%

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?86%

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?63%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?17%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?14%

Largest Company end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?75%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?14%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?8%

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Strong consensus forming

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?53%

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?17%

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?8%

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?15%

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?3%

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?89%

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?6%

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?2%

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Balanced market conditions

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?99%

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?99%

GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?99%

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?58%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?14%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?6%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?62%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?48%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?44%

2nd largest company end of March?

Balanced market conditions

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?69%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?26%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?4%

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?39%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?35%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?12%

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Strong consensus forming

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?63%

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?62%

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?12%

OpenAI IPO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?43%

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?4%

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?1%

Who will acquire TikTok?

Strong consensus forming

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?99%

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?7%

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?7%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Balanced market conditions

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?91%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?85%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?77%

Next CEO of Apple?

Strong consensus forming

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?46%

Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?36%

Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?12%

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Balanced market conditions

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?51%

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?34%

Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?10%

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Balanced market conditions

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?59%

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?22%

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?3%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?94%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?3%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?1%

NASA Artemis II

Strong consensus forming

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?56%

Artemis II booster rupture?10%

Will Artemis II launch by February 28?1%

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 202676%

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 202614%

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 20269%

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Balanced market conditions

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?78%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?12%

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?4%

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Balanced market conditions

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?34%

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?26%

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?20%

Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?

Strong consensus forming

Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?99%

Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?63%

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?17%

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?33%

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?17%

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?16%

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Crowd higher (71% vs 69%)

3rd largest company end of March?

Balanced market conditions

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?72%

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?21%

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?3%

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Balanced market conditions

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?50%

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?16%

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?10%

GPT-6 released by…?

Balanced market conditions

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?80%

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?65%

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?22%