Today's Signal

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO

Updated: 2 hours ago

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO is ahead at 37% with Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO at 24%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~328 days
Total Volume
$310K
24h Change
+$8.1K
Active Markets
6
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO
37%
#1 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO
24%
#2 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Medium
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
Low
Quietly backed
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO
✦ Surprise
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Medium
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking which ceos will be out before 2027. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $310K shows significant market interest with 22 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 6, 2026
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? leads with approximately 37% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?37%$216KTrade
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?24%$8KTrade
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?19%$27KTrade
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?17%$43KTrade
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?14%$11KTrade
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?12%$4KTrade
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