Today's Signal
Goldman Sachs
Updated: 2 hours ago
Traders currently favor Goldman Sachs at 60%, with Morgan Stanley trailing.
0%
Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Dec 25, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs leads at 60%, with Morgan Stanley at 27% -- a commanding 33-point lead 2 years out. $1.8M has traded across 709 positions with 594 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$1.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. High volume on long-horizon events like this typically signals strong early conviction rather than reaction to recent news.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Goldman Sachs's 60% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 60% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.