Today's Signal

Alphabet

Updated: 2026-03-02T12:03:10.354Z

Traders currently favor Alphabet at 59%, with Apple trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~29 days
Total Volume
$353K
24h Change
+$9.2K
Active Markets
5
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Alphabet
#1 Alphabet
61%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Apple
#2 Apple
34%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 3rd largest company end of march. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $353K shows significant market interest with 180 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 23, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Alphabet leads at 61%, with Apple at 34% -- a commanding 27-point lead 29 days out. $353K has traded across 180 positions with 29 days until resolution.
$353K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Alphabet's 61% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 61% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 3rd largest company end of March? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?61%—View market
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?34%—View market
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?3%—View market
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?3%—View market
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?1%—View market
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%—View market
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