Today's Signal

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet—SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? leads at 75% with Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? close at 67%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-6 days
Total Volume
$900K
24h Change
+$23.4K
Active Markets
5
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
75%
#1 SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
67%
#2 Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
✦ Surprise
chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking spacex starship flight test 12. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $900K shows significant market interest with 219 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 2, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? leads with approximately 75% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?75%$101KTrade
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?67%$64KTrade
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?60%$58KTrade
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?13%$149KTrade
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?5%$26KTrade
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?0%$44KTrade
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