Today's Signal

350k–375k

Updated: 13d ago

The market strongly leans toward 350k–375k at 76%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-14 days
Total Volume
$893K
24h Change
+$23.2K
Active Markets
1
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
350k–375k
#1 350k–375k
100%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks how many tesla deliveries in q1 2026? (between Jan 2, 2026 and Mar 31, 2026). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and bragging rights and prediction accuracy. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, historical patterns and trends.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

350k–375k leads at 100%, with 500k+ at 0% -- a commanding 100-point lead resolving soon. $893K has traded across 139 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$893K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. 350k–375k's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026100%-View market
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 20260%-View market
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 20260%-View market
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 20260%-View market
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 20260%-View market
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 20260%-View market
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