Today's Signal

December 31, 2027

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — December 31, 2027 leads at 60% with June 30, 2027 close at 56%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~443 days
Total Volume
$1.6M
24h Change
+$42K
Active Markets
6
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
December 31, 2027
#1 December 31, 2027
60%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
June 30, 2027
#2 June 30, 2027
56%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
December 31, 2026
December 31, 2026✦ Surprise
7%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking kraken ipo by ___ . Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $1.6M shows significant market interest with 1,618 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 2, 2027
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2028
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

December 31, 2027 leads at 60%, with June 30, 2027 at 56% -- an unusually tight race -- only 4% separates them 1 year out. $1.6M has traded across 1,618 positions with 443 days until resolution.
$1.6M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. High volume on long-horizon events like this typically signals strong early conviction rather than reaction to recent news.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. December 31, 2027's 60% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 60% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Kraken IPO by ___ ? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
December 31, 202760%$1KView market
June 30, 202756%$1KView market
March 31, 202711%$2KView market
December 31, 20267%$573KView market
March 31, 20260%$546KView market
December 310%$495KView market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms