See what the world thinks will happen and why
Events to Watch Now
Trending and most active across all categories
Odds show probability: 68% means the crowd thinks there's a 68% chance it happens. Data from Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt & Manifold.
Biggest Moves
Largest probability shifts in the past 24 hours
How Predictions Work
The mechanics behind market-based forecasting
What is a Prediction Market?
An exchange where people buy and sell shares on future events. Prices reflect probability. A share at 68¢ means the crowd thinks there's a 68% chance it happens. Prices update in real-time as news breaks.
Learn more →How Is It Different from Betting?
No house edge. You trade directly with other people, not a bookmaker. The crowd sets prices by trading with each other. That means better odds, transparent pricing, and markets that reflect real beliefs.
See difference →Frequently Asked Questions
Research shows prediction markets consistently outperform traditional polls. A 2020 study found markets predicted election outcomes with 74% accuracy compared to 65% for polls. Real money forces participants to weigh evidence carefully rather than express wishful thinking.
Read full guide →Deep Dives
Analysis that helps you understand what's really happening
Top Prediction Market Platforms
Compare the best platforms by volume, trust score, and features
Polymarket Review 2026
Kalshi Review 2026
PredictIt Review 2026
Manifold Markets Review 2026
Latest Market Headlines
News moving the odds right now
Tools
Daily Prediction Brief
Morning summary of top event shifts
Smart Insights (AI)
AI explanations of what's driving odds
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Weekly insights on what markets are pricing, and why. Join 1,200+ readers.
About Prediction Circle
Prediction Circle is your window into what the world thinks will happen next. We aggregate real-time odds from the largest prediction markets, including Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, and Manifold, covering over $2 billion in traded volume across thousands of active markets.
Unlike traditional news that tells you what happened, we show you what people with real money at stake believe will happen. Every percentage you see represents thousands of traders putting capital behind their convictions. When odds shift, it means the crowd's collective belief has changed based on new information.
We cover politics and elections, sports championships, crypto price predictions, economic indicators like Federal Reserve rate decisions, and world events from international conflicts to climate agreements. But we also track the weird, the cultural, and the unexpected: Who will be TIME's Person of the Year? How many tweets will Elon Musk post this month? Who tops Spotify Wrapped? If there's a market for it, we're watching it.
Our mission is to make prediction markets accessible to everyone. Not just professional traders, but anyone curious about the future and how crowds forecast it. Whether you want to track election odds, understand why Bitcoin prices move, see what the crowd thinks about the next Super Bowl champion, or just explore how markets react to breaking news, Prediction Circle turns complex market data into clear, actionable insights.
We aggregate data from regulated and established platforms, apply our own analysis, and present it in a way that's easy to understand. We don't tell you what to think. We show you what the world is betting on, and help you understand why the odds are moving.