Today's Signal

Arsenal

Updated: 16h ago

Arsenal currently leans toward winning the English Premier League at 80%, with Man City trailing at 21%.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~18 days
Total Volume
$320.5M
24h Change
+$8333K
Active Markets
2
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Arsenal
#1 Arsenal
80%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
Man City
#2 Man City
21%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

"This event tracks who will win the English Premier League between July 2025 and May 2026. It matters because the champion gets bragging rights, a coveted trophy, and a spot in a prestigious European competition. Market prices tend to move when there are updates from primary sources, such as official league announcements or credible news articles about team performances, or when the season is nearing its end."

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jul 24, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 27, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Arsenal leads at 80%, with Man City at 21% -- a commanding 59-point lead 18 days out. $320.5M has traded across 71,078 positions with 18 days until resolution.
$320.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Arsenal's 80% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 80% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the English Premier League Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?80%-View market
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?21%-View market
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?0%-View market
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?0%-View market
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?0%-View market
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?0%-View market
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