Today's Signal

Oklahoma City Thunder

Updated: 9h ago

Traders currently favor Oklahoma City Thunder at 63%, with San Antonio Spurs trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~54 days
Total Volume
$372.3M
24h Change
+$9681K
Active Markets
8
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1 Oklahoma City Thunder
62%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
San Antonio Spurs
#2 San Antonio Spurs
18%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers✦ Surprise
1%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks who will be the champion of the National Basketball Association (NBA) in 2026. It matters because the NBA champion is a highly anticipated title that brings pride and prestige to the winning team, their fans, and the players themselves. Market prices tend to move when there are updates on team performances, injuries, trades, or other significant events that could impact the outcome of the playoffs.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jun 23, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 62%, with San Antonio Spurs at 18% -- a commanding 44-point lead 54 days out. $372.3M has traded across 10,834 positions with 54 days until resolution.
$372.3M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Oklahoma City Thunder's 62% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 62% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 NBA Champion event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?62%-View market
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?18%-View market
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?10%-View market
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?7%-View market
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?2%-View market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?1%-View market
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