Politics Prediction Markets

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

LIVE
15% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 17, 2026, Gavin Newsom leads at 15% odds with $28.0M positioned by 27,989 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$28.0M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (85%)

This market resolves YES if gavin newsom win the 2028 democratic presidential nomination.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

15%
$4.20M staked

Market predicts YES

85%
$23.79M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$261K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$27.99M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 85% odds. As of 10/17/2026, this market has $28.0M traded and 27,989 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 83/100
$28.0M traded · Deep liquidity