Politics Prediction Markets·Elections·2028

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

LIVE
1% YES
0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, Jared Polis leads at 1% odds with $11.8M positioned by 11,806 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$11.8M
24h Volume
$307K
Active Traders
11,806

This market resolves YES if jared polis win the 2028 democratic presidential nomination. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$118K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$11.69M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$346K
24h Change
-0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$11.81M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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🗳️Part Of

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

43 markets$606.5M volume
Top Outcome
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?30.00%
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 87/100
$11.8M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~1005
Number of trades11,806
Total volume$11.8M
Liquidity$346K