Politics Prediction Markets·World Elections·2028
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
LIVE17% YES
↓ 0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, Gavin Newsom leads at 17% odds with $4.7M positioned by 4,726 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$4.7M
24h Volume
$123K
Active Traders
4,726
This market resolves YES if gavin newsom win the 2028 us presidential election. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
17%
$804K staked
Market predicts YES
83%
$3.92M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$335K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$4.73M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?22.00%
Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 70/100
$4.7M traded · Deep liquidity
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Polymarket17%
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Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~980
Number of trades4,726
Total volume$4.7M
Liquidity$335K