Politics Prediction Markets·Elections·2028
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
LIVE1% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, Elon Musk leads at 1% odds with $14.0M positioned by 14,007 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$14.0M
24h Volume
$364K
Active Traders
14,007
This market resolves YES if elon musk win the 2028 republican presidential nomination. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
1%
$140K staked
Market predicts YES
99%
$13.87M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$433K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$14.01M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Top Outcome
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49.00%
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 92/100
$14.0M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~1005
Number of trades14,007
Total volume$14.0M
Liquidity$433K