Politics Prediction Markets·Elections·2028

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

LIVE
1% YES
0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, Elise Stefanik leads at 1% odds with $11.4M positioned by 11,368 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$11.4M
24h Volume
$296K
Active Traders
11,368

This market resolves YES if elise stefanik win the 2028 republican presidential nomination. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$114K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$11.25M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$635K
24h Change
-0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$11.37M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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🗳️Part Of

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

32 markets$252.0M volume
Top Outcome
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49.00%
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 95/100
$11.4M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~1005
Number of trades11,368
Total volume$11.4M
Liquidity$635K