Macro Prediction Markets·Economics·2026
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
LIVE28% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 24, 2026, there leads at 28% odds with $179K positioned by 179 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$179K
Status
Live
Active Traders
179
This market resolves YES if there be at least 4000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
28%
$50K staked
Market predicts YES
72%
$129K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$4K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$179K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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Deeper Dives
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Polymarket28%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$179K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~190
Number of trades179
Total volume$179K
Liquidity$4K