Macro Prediction Markets·Economics·2026
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
LIVE33% YES
↓ 0.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 6, 2026, there leads at 33% odds with $172K positioned by 172 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$172K
Status
Live
Active Traders
172
This market resolves YES if there be at least 4000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
33%
$57K staked
Market predicts YES
67%
$115K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$4K
24h Change
-0.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$172K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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Deeper Dives
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Polymarket33%
KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$172K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~208
Number of trades172
Total volume$172K
Liquidity$4K