Tech Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

LIVE
27% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 7, 2026, there leads at 27% odds with $169K positioned by 338 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$169K
24h Volume
$4.4K
Active Traders
338

This market resolves YES if there be at least 4000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

27%
$46K staked

Market predicts YES

73%
$124K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$4K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$501
Total Volume
$169K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$169K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~238
Number of trades338
Total volume$169K
Liquidity$4K