Today's Signal

↓ 85,000

Updated: 3h ago

The market currently leans toward a price of 85,000 for Bitcoin in 2026, with 65,000 and 90,000 also highly favored, but the outcome is not yet fully settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~283 days
Total Volume
$26.5M
24h Change
+$690K
Active Markets
34
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
↓ 85,000
#1 ↓ 85,000
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
↓ 65,000
#2 ↓ 65,000
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
↑ 250,000
↑ 250,000✦ Surprise
4%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This market tracks what the outcome will be during a certain period. People are watching to see how things play out, and it's not just about being right - the outcome could have a material impact on what happens next. Prices tend to shift based on credible news and reporting, as well as recent activity and any big external events that might change the game. Traders are betting on what will happen, and it's a fun way to test their prediction skills and see who gets bragging rights.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 24, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

↓ 85,000 leads at 100%, with ↓ 65,000 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 9 months out. $26.5M has traded across 974 positions with 283 days until resolution.
$26.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. ↓ 85,000's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?100%-View market
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