Politics Prediction Markets·Elections·2026

Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

LIVE
2% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 26, 2026, This market leads at 2% odds with $75K positioned by 74 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$75K
Status
Live
Active Traders
74

This market resolves YES if michelle bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 brazilian presidential election. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$1K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$73K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$31K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$75K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 19/100
$75K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~131
Number of trades74
Total volume$75K
Liquidity$31K