Macro Prediction Markets·Economics·2026

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

LIVE
1% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 9, 2026, This market leads at 1% odds with $1.4M positioned by 1,417 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$1.4M
Status
Live
Active Traders
1,417

This market resolves YES if 4 fed rate cuts happen in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$14K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$1.40M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$90K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.42M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 34/100
$1.4M traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~205
Number of trades1,417
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$90K