Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

LIVE
3% YES
0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, This outcome leads at 3% odds with $1.1M positioned by 1,097 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$1.1M
24h Volume
$29K
Active Traders
1,097

This market resolves YES if 4 fed rate cuts happen in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$33K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$1.06M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$35K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.10M
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Similar Markets You Might Like
Compare Platforms
Polymarket3%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 29/100
$1.1M traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~236
Number of trades1,097
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$35K