Today's Signal
↑ 70,000
Updated: 10h ago
The market currently leans strongly toward Bitcoin hitting a price of ↑ 70,000 at 99%, with ↑ 75,000 at 61% trailing closely behind.
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Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Apr 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
↑ 70,000 leads at 100%, with ↑ 75,000 at 77% -- a commanding 23-point lead 21 days out. $13.8M has traded across 851 positions with 21 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$13.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. ↑ 70,000's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.