Today's Signal

↓ 75,000

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — ↓ 75,000 leads at 100% with ↑ 75,000 close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-39 days
Total Volume
$57.3M
24h Change
+$1491K
Active Markets
23
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
↓ 75,000
#1 ↓ 75,000
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
↑ 75,000
#2 ↑ 75,000
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
↑ 70,000
↑ 70,000✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This market tracks what price Bitcoin will hit in April, with the final answer due by May 1, 2026. It's mostly for bragging rights and to see who can accurately predict the market, but some people also use this info to inform their investment decisions. Prices tend to shift based on credible news reports, Bitcoin's past price movements, recent market activity, and external events that might impact the crypto market.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

↓ 75,000 leads at 100%, with ↑ 75,000 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $57.3M has traded across 57,341 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$57.3M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. ↓ 75,000's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the What price will Bitcoin hit in April? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
↓ 75,000100%$1986KView market
↑ 75,000100%$1862KView market
↑ 70,000100%$228KView market
↑ 80,0000%$8690KView market
↑ 150,0000%$8135KView market
↓ 65,0000%$6779KView market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms