Today's Signal

>$7M

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — >$7M leads at 100% with >$6M close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~21 days
Total Volume
$5.2M
24h Change
+$134K
Active Markets
27
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
>$7M
#1 >$7M
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
>$6M
#2 >$6M
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
>$3M
>$3M ✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking total commitments for the p2p protocol public sale on metadao. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $5.2M shows significant market interest with 5,156 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the P2P Protocol raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official P2P Protocol raise page on MetaDAO available at: https://www.metadao.fi/projects/p2p-protocol/fundraise If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

>$7M leads at 100%, with >$6M at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 21 days out. $5.2M has traded across 5,156 positions with 21 days until resolution.
$5.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. >$7M's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Total commitments for the P2P Protocol public sale on MetaDAO event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
>$7M100%$1011KView market
>$6M100%$888KView market
>$1M100%$256KView market
>$2M100%$149KView market
>$4M100%$140KView market
>$3M 100%$109KView market
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