Today's Signal

Park Chan-dae

Updated: 14h ago

The market strongly leans toward Park Chan-dae at 94%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~48 days
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Change
+$64K
Active Markets
2
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Park Chan-dae
#1 Park Chan-dae
95%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Yoo Jeong-bok
#2 Yoo Jeong-bok
4%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking incheon mayoral election winner. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible sources.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on official announcements, news developments, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.5M shows significant market interest with 1,919 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission https://www.nec.go.kr/.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 17, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 3, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Park Chan-dae leads at 95%, with Yoo Jeong-bok at 4% -- a commanding 91-point lead 48 days out. $2.5M has traded across 1,919 positions with 48 days until resolution.
$2.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Park Chan-dae's 95% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 95% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Incheon Mayoral Election Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?95%-View market
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?4%-View market
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?0%-View market
Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?0%-View market
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?0%-View market
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?0%-View market
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