Today's Signal

Arsenal

Updated: 17h ago

No clear favorite yet-Arsenal leads at 99% with Manchester City close at 98%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~40 days
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Change
+$44K
Active Markets
14
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Arsenal
#1 Arsenal
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Manchester City
#2 Manchester City
98%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks English Premier League - Top 4 Finish (between Aug 27, 2025 and May 27, 2026). It matters because of material impact on outcomes. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, deadline proximity and updates.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Aug 27, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 27, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Arsenal leads at 100%, with Manchester City at 98% -- an unusually tight race -- only 2% separates them 40 days out. $1.7M has traded across 37 positions with 40 days until resolution.
$1.7M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Arsenal's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the English Premier League - Top 4 Finish event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?100%-View market
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?98%-View market
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?89%-View market
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?63%-View market
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?31%-View market
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?17%-View market
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