Today's Signal

$300M

Updated: 4h ago

The market strongly leans toward $300M at 84%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~283 days
Total Volume
$6.8M
24h Change
+$178K
Active Markets
6
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
$300M
#1 $300M
82%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
$500M
#2 $500M
51%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
$1B
$1B✦ Surprise
17%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch? (between Nov 5, 2025 and Jan 1, 2027). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and revenue timing and adoption curve. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, roadmap signals.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of EdgeX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If EdgeX doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 5, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

$300M leads at 82%, with $500M at 51% -- a commanding 31-point lead 9 months out. $6.8M has traded across 2,816 positions with 283 days until resolution.
$6.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. $300M's 82% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 82% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?82%-View market
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?51%-View market
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?29%-View market
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?17%-View market
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?2%-View market
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?1%-View market
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