Today's Signal

Map 1 Winner

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet-Map 1 Winner leads at 100% with Odd/Even Total Rounds close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~1 days
Total Volume
$2.9M
24h Change
+$76K
Active Markets
11
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Map 1 Winner
#1 Map 1 Winner
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Odd/Even Total Rounds
#2 Odd/Even Total Rounds
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)✦ Surprise
90%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking counter-strike: vitality vs natus vincere (bo3) - iem rio playoffs. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.9M shows significant market interest with 1,786 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Vitality and Natus Vincere in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Apr 16, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 18, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Map 1 Winner leads at 100%, with Odd/Even Total Rounds at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $2.9M has traded across 1,786 positions with 1 days until resolution.
$2.9M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Map 1 Winner's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner100%-View market
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?100%-View market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs96%-View market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)90%-View market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner89%-View market
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50%-View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Guide

What does the price mean in prediction markets?

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms