Today's Signal
62,000
Updated: 11h ago
No clear favorite yet-62,000 leads at 99% with 64,000 close at 99%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
Updates & analysis
- Key dates and timeline
- Expert takes and analysis
- Frequently asked questions
Timeline & Key Updates
Apr 11, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 18, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.
Analyst & Expert Takes
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in Bitcoin above ___ on April 18?
62,000 leads at 100%, with 64,000 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $1.5M has traded across 128 positions with 1 days until resolution.
How much money is behind these odds?
$1.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
How do I read these odds?
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. 62,000's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
Go deeper
Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.