Today's Signal

Scottie Scheffler

Updated: 4h ago

The market currently sees Rory McIlroy as the favorite at 9%, with Scottie Scheffler at 18% and no runaway leader established in this fragmented market.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~20 days
Total Volume
$54.8M
24h Change
+$1425K
Active Markets
40
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Scottie Scheffler
#1 Scottie Scheffler
17%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Rory McIlroy
#2 Rory McIlroy
9%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele✦ Surprise
5%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

Here's a 2-4 sentence "What This Event Is About" paragraph that follows the rules: This event tracks who will win the prestigious Augusta National Invitational golf tournament. It matters because the winner earns a coveted title, boosts their reputation, and can gain a competitive edge in future tournaments. Market prices tend to move when there are injury reports, changes in team form, or coaching decisions that impact the golfers' chances of winning.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Aug 29, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Scottie Scheffler leads at 17%, with Rory McIlroy at 9% -- a tight race, only 8% separates them 20 days out. $54.8M has traded across 8,298 positions with 20 days until resolution.
$54.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Scottie Scheffler's 17% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 17% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Augusta National Invitational - Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?17%-View market
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?9%-View market
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?7%-View market
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?7%-View market
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?5%-View market
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?5%-View market
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