Iran

Geopolitics cluster · 21 events

Events21

Total Volume$148.8M

All Iran Events

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21 events

Event

Iran leader end of 2026?

76%Mojtaba Khamenei

$32.8M-5.6%164d123 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

10%Yes

$22.6M-1.0%164d1 market

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

14%December 31

$17.4M-1.1%164d7 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%Yes

$11.6M-0.4%164d1 market

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

35%December 31

$10.7M+6.0%43d7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%December 31

$7.7M+0.1%164d3 markets

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

17%August 15

$7.5M-11.0%12d8 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

46%5

$7.3M-34.2%164d16 markets

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

47%August 31

$7.0M+4.0%12d6 markets

Iran full airspace closure by...?

44%August 31

$4.9M-13.5%43d7 markets

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

32%Switzerland

$2.9M-7.9%73d19 markets

Iran coup attempt by...?

16%December 31

$2.1M+1.5%164d2 markets

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

99%July 9

$2.0M-52.2%12d23 markets

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

99%Donald Trump

$2.0M+83.5%12d20 markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

13%December 31

$1.9M-3.5%164d4 markets

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%September 30

$1.8M0.0%164d3 markets

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

57%August 31

$1.5M+9.0%43d5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

14%Yes

$1.3M+5.0%42d1 market

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

18%Yes

$1.3M+2.5%164d1 market

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

64%December 31

$1.2M-4.5%43d5 markets

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

99%40+

$1.2M+18.1%12d7 markets

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