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Iran

Geopolitics cluster · 26 events

Events26
Total Volume$360.2M

All Iran Events

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26 events

Event

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

8%December 31
$72.5M+2.0%123d10 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

83%Mojtaba Khamenei
$39.0M+0.2%122d123 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%July 18
$27.1M-7.0%123d23 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%Yes
$25.4M+1.0%123d1 market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

1%August 31
$25.1M-0.1%11h2 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

61%December 31
$23.8M-13.1%123d20 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

5%December 31
$21.8M-0.1%123d7 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

7%December 31
$17.9M-1.1%123d7 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%December 31
$16.9M+0.5%123d9 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%Yes
$11.7M+0.8%123d1 market

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

60%March 31, 2027
$10.6M-1.0%213d11 markets

Iran full airspace closure by...?

26%December 31
$8.9M+9.0%123d10 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

7%December 31
$8.4M-0.5%123d7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

4%December 31
$7.8M+0.5%123d3 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

81%4
$7.4M-34.2%123d16 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

3%Yes
$7.2M0.0%30d1 market

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

22%December 31
$7.0M-1.5%123d15 markets

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%No Meeting by September …
$5.4M+1.3%31d19 markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

13%December 31
$2.9M-0.4%123d4 markets

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

37%December 31
$2.7M+6.5%123d6 markets

Iran coup attempt by...?

9%December 31
$2.1M-0.2%123d2 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

1%Yes
$1.8M+0.1%31d1 market

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%September 30
$1.8M0.0%123d3 markets

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

15%December 31
$1.7M-1.1%123d7 markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

14%Yes
$1.7M0.0%123d1 market

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

1%June 26
$1.6M-2.8%11h7 markets