Iran

Geopolitics cluster · 26 events

Events26

Total Volume$375.0M

All Iran Events

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26 events

Event

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

8%December 31

$76.2M-1.0%77d11 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%March 31

$40.8M-13.1%77d23 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

87%Mojtaba Khamenei

$40.2M+0.5%77d123 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%July 18

$35.6M-4.0%77d29 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%Yes

$27.2M0.0%77d1 market

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%December 31

$22.2M-0.1%77d7 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

13%December 31

$20.0M-0.2%77d9 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

6%December 31

$18.1M-1.1%77d7 markets

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%September 20

$14.0M-5.0%16d20 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%Yes

$11.8M0.0%77d1 market

Iran full airspace closure by...?

33%December 31

$10.2M-8.9%77d11 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

36%December 31, 2027

$8.5M-3.0%77d10 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%December 31

$7.8M-0.4%77d3 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

62%4

$7.6M-34.2%77d16 markets

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%December 31

$7.4M+1.0%77d15 markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

20%March 31, 2027

$4.9M+1.0%77d5 markets

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

17%December 31

$3.5M-4.6%77d6 markets

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%December 31

$3.1M-3.5%16d11 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

1%Yes

$2.7M-0.4%16d1 market

Iran coup attempt by...?

28%December 31, 2027

$2.1M-0.2%77d3 markets

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

31%December 31

$2.0M-4.9%77d10 markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

9%Yes

$1.9M-0.5%77d1 market

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

6%December 31

$1.9M-0.1%77d3 markets

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

97%No Hormuz Agreement

$1.8M+1.5%19d3 markets

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%December 31

$1.8M-1.1%77d7 markets

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

99%Jared Kushner

$1.5M+66.0%77d27 markets

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