Macro Prediction Markets
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
LIVE64% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 7, 2026, there leads at 64% odds with $210K positioned by 420 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$210K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
Yes (64%)
This market resolves YES if there be at least 4000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
64%
$134K staked
Market predicts YES
36%
$76K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$3K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$210K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market favors YES at 64% odds. As of 8/7/2026, this market has $210K traded and 420 traders.
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Polymarket64%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 19/100
$210K traded · Limited liquidity